Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Elgin City		Cowdenbeath

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.77	3.4	4
	1.78	3.4	4.1
	1.75	3.4	4.4
	1.79	3.67	4.31
	1.8	3.3	4.2
	1.81	3.62	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	4.19 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elgin City
51.6%

Draw
26.5%

Cowdenbeath
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Cowdenbeath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cowdenbeath than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Elgin City - Cowdenbeath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elgin won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Elgin is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Elgin won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Elgin won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
16.04.22	Stirling Albion - Elgin City	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	Elgin City - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
02.04.22	Albion Rovers - Elgin City	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	2:0 ✺
19.03.22	Elgin City - Kelty Hearts	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTWT
- Cowdenbeath
Scottish League Two
16.04.22	Cowdenbeath - Edinburgh City	0:0 ✺
09.04.22	Annan Athletic - Cowdenbeath	2:3 ✺
02.04.22	Cowdenbeath - Stirling Albion	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Forfar Athletic - Cowdenbeath	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Cowdenbeath - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
19.02.22	Cowdenbeath - Elgin City	2:0
13.11.21	Elgin City - Cowdenbeath	1:0
07.08.21	Cowdenbeath - Elgin City	3:1
10.04.21	Cowdenbeath - Elgin City	1:0
28.11.20	Elgin City - Cowdenbeath	5:2
10.03.20	Elgin City - Cowdenbeath	3:2
07.12.19	Cowdenbeath - Elgin City	0:0

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