Match Info

League Two - Round 19

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Borough Briggs (Elgin)


	Elgin City		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.3
	2.6	3.25	2.3
	2.58	3.55	2.4
	2.67	3.81	2.29
	2.58	3.57	2.39	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.4
	2.6	3.55	2.25
	2.57	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.85)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	2.32 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elgin City
35.1%

Draw
25.8%

East Kilbride
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.3%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

25.3%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Elgin City - East Kilbride Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ritchie T. (G) 5. Girvan K. 16. Neill M. 6. Murray J. 12. Cairns O. 17. Hyde L. 20. Spalding A. 10. Gallagher M. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 9. Hester K. 11. Sargent R.	1. Hepburn C. (G) 5. Fagan S. 2. Young S. 4. Hamilton J. 3. Kyle A. 6. Leitch J. (C) 8. Balde J. 10. Robertson J. 7. Mcluckie B. 19. Robertson K. 11. Young C.
Substitutes
8. Cameron B. 15. Ewan C. 26. Hickey R. 27. Machado M. 21. Taylor C. (G) 25. Thompson R. 24. Walker J.	20. Breen R. 16. Dobbie L. 12. Foster K. 18. McGregor J. 21. Morrison J. (G) 27. Mylchreest J. 25. Spence L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', Kyle A. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Gallagher M. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Fagan S. ⚽, Robertson J. (A),
28', Balde J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Robertson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Hamilton J. ↓, Breen R. ↑,
49', 1 - 3, Young C. ⚽, Mcluckie B. (A),
59', Neill M. 🟨,
62', Ritchie T. 🟥,
64', Hester K. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
64', 1 - 4, Robertson J. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Robertson J. ↓, Dobbie L. ↑,
67', Robertson K. ↓, Foster K. ↑,
67', Spalding A. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
67', Hyde L. ↓, Hickey R. ↑,
75', Gallagher M. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
76', 1 - 5, Mcluckie B. ⚽, Balde J. (A),
80', Balde J. ↓, Strachan B. ↑,
80', Mcluckie B. ↓, Mylchreest J. ↑,
82', 1 - 6, Leitch J. ⚽, Foster K. (A),
83', Hickey R. 🟨,

Preview

Elgin is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

East Kilbride's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Elgin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Elgin City: 11.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Elgin City	9	4	2	3	25:16	9	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
10.02.26	Clyde - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
07.02.26	Elgin City - Partick Thistle	2:3 ✺
Scottish League Two
31.01.26	Elgin City - Spartans	3:3 ✺
24.01.26	Dumbarton - Elgin City	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Camelon Juniors - Elgin City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTTW
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League Two
14.02.26	Annan Athletic - East Kilbride	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	Edinburgh City - East Kilbride	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	East Kilbride - Forfar Athletic	3:1 ✺
27.01.26	East Kilbride - Spartans	0:6 ✺
24.01.26	East Kilbride - Stranraer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
18.10.25	East Kilbride - Elgin City	3:0
09.08.25	Elgin City - East Kilbride	0:1
Scottish League Cup
19.07.25	Elgin City - East Kilbride	1:4

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