Match Info

League Two - Round 23

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Borough Briggs (Elgin)


	Elgin City		Spartans

	1	X	2
	3	3.7	1.95
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	3.05	3.45	2.1
	3.26	3.45	2.11
	3.11	3.67	2.03	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.1
	3.13	3.86	2.04
	3.33	3.33	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.55)	3.48 ↑ (3.37)	2.09 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elgin City
29.7%

Draw
26.4%

Spartans
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.9%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elgin City's form might have worsened.

Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elgin City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Elgin City - Spartans Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Elgin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Spartans will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Elgin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Spartans (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ritchie T. (G) 5. Girvan K. 4. Virtanen M. 6. Murray J. 19. Ross D. 10. Gallagher M. 17. Hyde L. 22. MacIver J. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 11. Sargent R. 9. Hester K.	21. Martin P. (G) 2. Watson K. 5. Tapping J. 15. Sonkur A. 19. Drysdale E. 28. Craigen J. (C) 4. Welsh S. 33. Whyte B. 29. Stowe M. 9. McNulty M. 7. Dishington J.
Substitutes
12. Cairns O. 8. Cameron B. 15. Ewan C. 26. Hickey R. 27. Machado M. 20. Spalding A. 21. Taylor C. (G) 25. Thompson R. 24. Walker J.	8. Aiken M. 1. Carswell B. (G) 6. Dall B. 12. Nair K. 11. Russell C. 10. Scott M. 14. Watson P. 23. Waugh K. 22. Wylie A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, MacIver J. ⚽, Gallagher M. (A),
25', Hester K. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, McNulty M. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 2 - 1, Hester K. ⚽, Hyde L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 2, Whyte B. ⚽,
51', 3 - 2, MacIver J. ⚽, Gallagher M. (A),
58', Hyde L. 🟨,
62', Drysdale E. ↓, Russell C. ↑,
62', Welsh S. ↓, Nair K. ↑,
66', Gallagher M. ↓, Spalding A. ↑,
66', Hester K. ↓, Thompson R. ↑,
67', Dishington J. 🟨,
70', 3 - 3, Russell C. ⚽, Watson K. (A),
74', Whyte B. ↓, Aiken M. ↑,
76', Dishington J. ↓, Waugh K. ↑,
87', Hyde L. ↓, Hickey R. ↑,
87', MacIver J. ↓, Machado M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 2.

Elgin is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spartans is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Elgin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Elgin has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Elgin won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Elgin won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Elgin City: 11.71% Spartans: 7.87%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Elgin City	9	4	2	3	25:16	9	14
4	Spartans	9	3	3	3	19:17	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Elgin City - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.66%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Spartans - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.37%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
24.01.26	Dumbarton - Elgin City	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Camelon Juniors - Elgin City	1:3 ✺
Scottish League Two
27.12.25	Forfar Athletic - Elgin City	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Spartans - Elgin City	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Elgin City - East Fife	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWLLL
- Spartans FC
Scottish League Two
27.01.26	East Kilbride - Spartans	0:6 ✺
24.01.26	Clyde - Spartans	2:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Spartans - Inverness	1:0 penalties ✺
Scottish League Two
03.01.26	Spartans - Dumbarton	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Edinburgh City - Spartans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
20.12.25	Spartans - Elgin City	1:0
27.09.25	Elgin City - Spartans	2:3
22.03.25	Spartans - Elgin City	1:2
11.03.25	Elgin City - Spartans	0:2
19.10.24	Spartans - Elgin City	1:3
17.09.24	Elgin City - Spartans	1:1
06.04.24	Elgin City - Spartans	2:2

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