Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Atletismo de Elvas (Elvas)


	Elvas		Torreense

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	4.6	3.3	1.7
	4.75	3.5	1.72	Watch
	4.77	3.39	1.72
	4.26	3.48	1.77	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.67
	4.8	3.52	1.75
	4.75	3.5	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (4.53)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elvas
19.9%

Draw
26.7%

Torreense
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

25.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

23.5%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Elvas - Torreense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	39. Leandro Matheus (G)
	46. Agbor B.
	30. Balanta J. (C)
	22. Daniel Bolt
	75. Jean-Marie M.
	8. Leo Silva
	5. Lomboto J.
	77. Luccas Paraizo
	11. Pozo M.
	2. Stopira
	23. Vazquez J.
Substitutes
	90. Costa D.
	18. David Kaiki
	21. Felix V.
	1. Lucas Paes (G)
	4. Ne Lopes
	7. Rebelo M.
	15. Sousa V.
	19. Talles Wander
	17. Yaw M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Enoh L. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Pozo M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Medina C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
59', 2 - 2, Balanta J. ⚽,
64', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
106', 3 - 2, Yombi L. ⚽,

Preview

Elvas in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Torreense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torreense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Torreense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.10.24	Elvas - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Peniche - Elvas	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Marco 09 - Elvas	0:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.09.24	Elvas - SB Castelo Branco	3:0 ✺
01.09.24	Alcains - Elvas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWW
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
13.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Torreense - Tondela	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Chaves - Torreense	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.24	Académica Coimbra - Torreense	0:1 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.24	Torreense - Portimonense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW

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