Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Torreense		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.5
	1.78	3.5	4.25
	1.83	3.72	4.53
	1.56	4.18	5.31	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.82	3.55	4.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.75)	3.61 ↑ (3.59)	4.46 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
53.3%

Draw
25.8%

Portimonense
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.4%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Portimonense aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Torreense - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Portimonense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Torreense (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 46. Agbor B. 93. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. (C) 6. Leo Silva 10. Costinha 8. Alfaro A. 11. Pozo M. 9. Zohi K. 7. Jean D.	77. Cibois S. (G) 31. Edney 32. Jarleysom 6. Neves S. 37. Mateus Sarara 17. Joao Reis (C) 18. Mamede 47. Cagro W. 8. Lobato S. 16. Thauan Lara 21. Dauda M.
Substitutes
47. Baradji A. 4. Casas A. 57. Danilo 17. Drammeh M. 13. Perez U. (G) 20. Pite 31. Seydi I. 26. Simoes A. 90. Yameogo B.	90. Canario F. 22. De Bolle L. 19. Dju M. 40. Joao Vitor 50. Kait K. 26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 87. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 65. Wellington Santana (G)
Coaches
Tralhao L.	Fernandes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Agbor B. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Leo Silva ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Pozo M. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
56', Jean D. 🟨,
70', Zohi K. 🟨,
71', Zohi K. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
71', Costinha ↓, Casas A. ↑,
76', Dauda M. ↓, Dju M. ↑,
81', Thauan Lara ↓, Canario F. ↑,
90+1', Agbor B. ↓, Yameogo B. ↑,
90+1', Alfaro A. ↓, Pite ↑,
90+4', Casas A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Torreense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portimonense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Torreense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Torreense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
07.03.26	Oliveirense - Torreense	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Torreense - Porto B	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Torreense - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Torreense - Leiria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWTW
- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
07.03.26	Portimonense - Paços de Ferreira	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Portimonense - Académico de Viseu	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Portimonense	4:3 ✺
09.02.26	Portimonense - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.10.25	Portimonense - Torreense	0:1
16.02.25	Portimonense - Torreense	1:2
13.09.24	Torreense - Portimonense	3:2

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