Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves)

Referee: Lima R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV7


	Chaves		Torreense

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.6
	2.48	3.15	2.78
	2.68	3.2	2.96
	2.48	3.19	2.87	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.75
	2.68	3.23	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.23)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	2.76 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
36.6%

Draw
29.7%

Torreense
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Chaves - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Gudzulic M. (G) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 33. Simoes T. 3. Romero A. 19. Tiago Almeida 20. Ktatau 8. Pinho P. (C) 77. Reinaldo 10. Rodrigues A. 7. Delgado J. 27. Esajas R.	1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 2. Stopira (C) 46. Agbor B. 23. Vazquez J. 10. Costinha 4. Casas A. 8. Alfaro A. 31. Seydi I. 17. Drammeh M. 7. Jean D.
Substitutes
15. Carraca 5. Kiko 30. Kusso D. 22. Muscat Z. 17. Roberto 26. Rodrigues G. 29. Tounkara M. 1. Vozinha (G) 21. Wellington Carvalho	47. Baradji A. 56. Caio Amaral 57. Danilo 70. Marques R. 13. Perez U. (G) 20. Pite 29. Quintero L. 26. Simoes A. 9. Zohi K.
Coaches
Martins V.	Tralhao L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Jean D. 🟨,
22', Delgado J. ↓, Roberto ↑,
31', Pinho P. 🟨,
41', Costinha ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Rodrigues A. ⚽,
51', Alfaro A. 🟨,
56', Seydi I. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
56', Alfaro A. ↓, Pite ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Roberto (Penalty Awarded),
77', Esajas R. ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
77', Tiago Almeida ↓, Carraca ↑,
77', David Bruno ↓, Danilo ↑,
77', Jean D. ↓, Baradji A. ↑,
79', Roberto 🟨,
86', Reinaldo ↓, Muscat Z. ↑,
86', Rodrigues A. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
88', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

In recent matches, Chaves has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torreense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chaves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6
16	Chaves	6	1	1	4	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Chaves - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.43%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Torreense - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.14%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.26	Porto B - Chaves	3:0 ✺
20.03.26	Chaves - Leiria	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Chaves	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Chaves - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Vizela - Chaves	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.26	Torreense - Leixões	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Felgueiras - Torreense	0:3 ✺
16.03.26	Torreense - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Oliveirense - Torreense	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Torreense - Porto B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.25	Torreense - Chaves	0:2
23.02.25	Torreense - Chaves	1:2
28.09.24	Chaves - Torreense	2:1
Taça de Portugal
14.12.16	Torreense - Chaves	2:3

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