Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 35

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Elversberg		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	10
	1.21	7.25	10.5
	1.2	6.5	9
	1.22	7.02	11.83
	1.18	5.8	11
	1.19	6.95	10.75	Watch
	1.18	6.6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.35)	6.66 ↑ (5.2)	10.44 ↑ (6.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
77.3%

Draw
13.9%

Bayreuth
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

17.9%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

17.1%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elversberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Elversberg - Bayreuth Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Bayreuth will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Elversberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elversberg is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
29.04.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Duisburg - Elversberg	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Osnabrück - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Elversberg - Viktoria Köln	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLW
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
29.04.23	Bayreuth - Duisburg	0:4 ✺
22.04.23	1860 München - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Bayreuth - Hallescher	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Verl - Bayreuth	4:1 ✺
31.03.23	Bayreuth - Meppen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.22	Bayreuth - Elversberg	0:1

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