Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 33

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Elversberg		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	6
	1.39	5	6.75
	1.35	4.75	7
	1.42	5.08	7.19
	1.35	4.4	7
	1.38	4.95	6.75	Watch
	1.37	4.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	4.82 ↑ (4.27)	6.7 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
67.1%

Draw
19.1%

Erzgebirge Aue
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.7%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

20.7%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Elversberg - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).

Recent matches Elversberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aue is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Elversberg is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
15.04.23	Osnabrück - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Elversberg - Viktoria Köln	3:2 ✺
25.03.23	Verl - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Elversberg - Hallescher	1:1 ✺
14.03.23	1860 München - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWTT
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
15.04.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Verl	2:3 ✺
08.04.23	Hallescher - Erzgebirge Aue	5:2 ✺
01.04.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Meppen - Erzgebirge Aue	3:2 ✺
18.03.23	Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
29.10.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Elversberg	1:1

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