Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Schwengers P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Elversberg		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	4	Watch
	1.82	4	3.9	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.89	4.09	3.9
	1.9	3.98	3.98
	1.73	3.9	3.8	Watch
	1.87	3.9	3.85	Watch
	1.86	3.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.68)	3.95 ↓ (4.23)	3.89 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
51.5%

Draw
24.1%

Osnabrück
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

22.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elversberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Elversberg - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 18. Vandermersch H. 19. Pinckert L. 3. Le Joncour F. 33. Neubauer M. 14. Fellhauer R. 8. Sahin S. 7. Feil M. 17. Wanner P. 10. Rochelt J. 24. Schnellbacher L. (C)	22. Kuhn P. (G) 2. Androutsos A. 4. Gyamfi M. (C) 14. Diakhite O. 5. Ajdini B. 17. Conteh C. 27. Cuisance M. 26. Gnaase D. 13. Kunze L. 37. Goiginger T. 9. Engelhardt E.
Substitutes
28. Boss T. (G) 22. Boyamba J. 11. Durholtz L. 29. Faghir W. 31. Jacobsen T. 30. Koffi 9. Martinovic D. 26. Sicker A. 21. Stock P.	28. Bahr F. 33. Beermann T. 1. Grill L. (G) 21. Lobinger L. 7. Niemann N. 8. Tesche R. 25. Wiemann N. 10. Wriedt K. O. 32. Wulff J.
Coaches
Steffen H.	Koschinat U.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Osnabrück could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elversberg is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Elversberg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
10.02.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Elversberg - Kaiserslautern	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Hansa Rostock - Elversberg	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Elversberg - Hannover	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TWLTW
- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
11.02.24	Osnabrück - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Nürnberg - Osnabrück	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Osnabrück - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Karlsruher - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.24	Twente - Osnabrück	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
03.09.23	Osnabrück - Elversberg	0:1
German 3 Bundesliga
15.04.23	Osnabrück - Elversberg	1:0
22.10.22	Elversberg - Osnabrück	4:1
05.04.14	Elversberg - Osnabrück	2:2
26.10.13	Osnabrück - Elversberg	0:1

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