Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports
Australia	21:30	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Brazil	08:30	Canal GOAT
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	07:30	Disney+
Colombia	06:30	Disney+, ESPN
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
Israel	14:30	Sport 4
Italy	13:30	Sky Sport 255
Kosovo	13:30	Arena Premium 4
Laos	18:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	05:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	23:30	beIN Connect
Norway	13:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	06:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	13:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App
Saudi Arabia	14:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	13:30	Sport TV1
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	14:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	11:30	Onefootball


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	2	Watch
	3.05	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.3	4.05	2.11
	3.24	3.71	2.08	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.74	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.03)	3.76 ↑ (3.7)	2.06 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
29.4%

Draw
25%

Elversberg
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

25.5%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	5.9%	76.5%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Elversberg will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fortuna (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 25. Zimmermann M. 44. Egouli E. 15. Oberdorf T. 3. Lenz C. 14. Alexandropoulos S. 6. Breithaupt T. 19. Iyoha E. 23. Appelkamp S. 20. Ljubicic M. 13. Itten C.	20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 31. Rohr M. 3. Le Joncour F. 21. Gunther L. 6. Conde A. (C) 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 22. Pherai I. 29. Zimmerschied T. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.
Substitutes
2. Daland J. 11. Hettwer J. 5. Heyer M. 1. Lotka M. (G) 12. Lunddal V. 27. Paulina J. 7. Raimund L. 10. Rasmussen C. 46. Suso S.	15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 10. Conte B. 14. Malanga J. 2. Mickelson N. 16. Pfeiffer L. 19. Pinckert L. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L.
Coaches
Ende A.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Le Joncour F. (Own goal),
30', Zimmermann M. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Itten C. ⚽, Appelkamp S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 3 - 0, Itten C. ⚽, Breithaupt T. (A),
56', Zimmermann M. ↓, Lunddal V. ↑,
56', Lenz C. ↓, Suso S. ↑,
64', Itten C. 🟨,
66', Poreba L. ↓, Pinckert L. ↑,
66', Rohr M. ↓, Adam R. ↑,
66', Petkov L. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
70', Ljubicic M. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
70', Breithaupt T. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
81', Gyamerah J. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
83', Appelkamp S. ↓, Daland J. ↑,
88', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Oberdorf T. (Own goal),
90+8', Raimund L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Fortuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elversberg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Elversberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Elversberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Elversberg - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.32%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
02.05.26	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
03.05.26	Elversberg - Paderborn	5:1 ✺
25.04.26	Darmstadt - Elversberg	3:3 ✺
17.04.26	Elversberg - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Hannover - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.25	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
19.04.25	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
23.11.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg	0:2
10.02.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg	1:1
26.08.23	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:5

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg