Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.8	2	Watch
	3.05	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.3	4.05	2.11
	3.24	3.71	2.08	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.74	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.03)	3.76 ↑ (3.7)	2.06 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
29.4%

Draw
25%

Elversberg
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

25.5%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.7%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	5.9%	76.5%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Elversberg will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Fortuna (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 25. Zimmermann M. 44. Egouli E. 15. Oberdorf T. 3. Lenz C. 14. Alexandropoulos S. 6. Breithaupt T. 19. Iyoha E. 23. Appelkamp S. 20. Ljubicic M. 13. Itten C.	20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 31. Rohr M. 3. Le Joncour F. 21. Gunther L. 6. Conde A. (C) 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 22. Pherai I. 29. Zimmerschied T. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.
Substitutes
2. Daland J. 11. Hettwer J. 5. Heyer M. 1. Lotka M. (G) 12. Lunddal V. 27. Paulina J. 7. Raimund L. 10. Rasmussen C. 46. Suso S.	15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 10. Conte B. 14. Malanga J. 2. Mickelson N. 16. Pfeiffer L. 19. Pinckert L. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L.
Coaches
Ende A.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Le Joncour F. (Own goal),
30', Zimmermann M. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Itten C. ⚽, Appelkamp S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 3 - 0, Itten C. ⚽, Breithaupt T. (A),
56', Zimmermann M. ↓, Lunddal V. ↑,
56', Lenz C. ↓, Suso S. ↑,
64', Itten C. 🟨,
66', Poreba L. ↓, Pinckert L. ↑,
66', Rohr M. ↓, Adam R. ↑,
66', Petkov L. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
70', Ljubicic M. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
70', Breithaupt T. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
81', Gyamerah J. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
83', Appelkamp S. ↓, Daland J. ↑,
88', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Oberdorf T. (Own goal),
90+8', Raimund L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Fortuna has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elversberg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Elversberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Elversberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Elversberg - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.32%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
02.05.26	Schalke 04 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Magdeburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
03.05.26	Elversberg - Paderborn	5:1 ✺
25.04.26	Darmstadt - Elversberg	3:3 ✺
17.04.26	Elversberg - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Elversberg - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Hannover - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
14.12.25	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
19.04.25	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1
23.11.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg	0:2
10.02.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Elversberg	1:1
26.08.23	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:5

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