Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dynamo Dresden		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.22	3.61	2.27
	3.11	3.59	2.21	Watch
	3	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.09	3.46	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)	3.44 ↓ (3.47)	2.21 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
30.2%

Draw
27.3%

Elversberg
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.7%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

26%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Elversberg (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 39. Keller T. 42. Muller F. 19. Rossipal A. 6. Amoako K. 18. Wagner R. 7. Ceka J. 27. Hauptmann N. 20. Bobzien B. 9. Vermeij V.	20. Kristof N. (G) 43. Keidel F. 19. Pinckert L. 31. Rohr M. 2. Mickelson N. 6. Conde A. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Conte B. 29. Zimmerschied T. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.
Substitutes
40. Bethke E. (G) 29. Boeder L. 33. Daferner C. 2. Faber K. 16. Froling N. 8. Herrmann L. 30. Kutschke S. 10. Lemmer J. 28. Risch S.	15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 21. Gunther L. 3. Le Joncour F. 14. Malanga J. 16. Pfeiffer L. 22. Pherai I. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Poreba L. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Rossipal A. ⚽, Bobzien B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Keller T. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Mickelson N. ⚽, Rohr M. (A),
59', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
59', Bobzien B. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
65', Amoako K. 🟨,
71', Mickelson N. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
71', Amoako K. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
72', Ceka J. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Petkov L. ⚽,
79', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
80', Rohr M. 🟨,
82', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
82', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Le Joncour F. ↑,
82', Rohr M. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
85', Sterner J. 🟨,
89', Keidel F. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
90+5', Kristof N. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 4).

Dynamo Dresden is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elversberg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elversberg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Elversberg: Gunther L. (Muscle Injury) Pantschenko D. (Illness) Pherai I. (Calf Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	7	1	2	4	9:15	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
07.02.26	Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Dynamo Dresden - Aarau	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TTWWW
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
07.02.26	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Kaiserslautern - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Elversberg - Bochum	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Nürnberg - Elversberg	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Preußen Münster - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
14.09.25	Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden	2:2
German 3 Bundesliga
26.02.23	Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden	1:1
20.08.22	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	2:3

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