Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Stegemann M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Elversberg		Waldhof Mannheim

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	3.75
	1.85	3.7	3.9
	1.85	3.6	3.65
	1.8	3.75	3.8
	1.89	4.01	3.88
	1.78	3.5	3.75
	1.82	3.84	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.4)	3.74 ↑ (3.35)	3.8 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
50.8%

Draw
24.8%

Waldhof Mannheim
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.2%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elversberg's performance.

Waldhof Mannheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Waldhof Mannheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elversberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waldhof Mannheim than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waldhof Mannheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	15.8%	15.8%

Elversberg - Waldhof Mannheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Waldhof will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Elversberg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Elversberg won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 9-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Elversberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German 3 Bundesliga
20.08.22	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
13.08.22	Elversberg - Zwickau	5:0 ✺
09.08.22	Oldenburg - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
06.08.22	Elversberg - Saarbrücken	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.07.22	Elversberg - Bayer Leverkusen	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.7 WWWLW
- Waldhof Mannheim
German 3 Bundesliga
20.08.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Meppen - Waldhof Mannheim	6:2 ✺
10.08.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Verl - Waldhof Mannheim	2:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.07.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Holstein Kiel	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Elversberg	0:1
German Regionalliga Sudwest
04.05.19	Waldhof Mannheim - Elversberg	1:0
27.10.18	Elversberg - Waldhof Mannheim	0:2
25.11.17	Elversberg - Waldhof Mannheim	0:2
07.08.17	Waldhof Mannheim - Elversberg	3:0
25.11.16	Elversberg - Waldhof Mannheim	1:2
16.08.16	Waldhof Mannheim - Elversberg	2:0

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