Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Union Berlin		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.70	2.90	Watch
	2.25	3.80	2.80
	2.23	3.70	2.80
	2.38	4.00	2.93
	2.24	3.85	2.89	Watch
	2.25	3.70	2.85
	2.37	3.96	2.93	Watch
	2.29	3.75	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.31)	3.81 ↑ (3.69)	2.86 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
41.7%

Draw
25%

Elversberg
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

25.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Union Berlin - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Elversberg will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent results have been tough for Union Berlin (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Elversberg is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Elversberg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Elversberg: 0.32% Union Berlin: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4:17	-13	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Rijeka - Union Berlin	0:1
German Bundesliga
18.09.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	7:0 ✺
11.09.26	Union Berlin - Schalke 04	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLT
- SV Elversberg
German Bundesliga
20.09.26	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
29.08.26	Elversberg - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Duisburg - Elversberg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 TLWWW

Union Berlin - Elversberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide