Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal da Marinha Grande (Leiria)


	Marinhense		Naval

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	2.88
	2.36	2.91	3.21
	2.34	2.92	3.1	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3
	2.39	3.13	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.55)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.02 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marinhense
38.8%

Draw
31.1%

Naval
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Marinhense - Naval Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Naval has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Naval may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marinhense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Naval 1893	4	2	0	2	6:4	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.02.26	Marinhense - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Marinhense - Fatima	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Samora Correia - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Marinhense - Peniche	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Marinhense - Oliveira Hospital	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWTL
- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.02.26	Peniche - Naval	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Naval - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Naval - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	União da Serra - Naval	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Naval - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.09.25	Naval - Marinhense	3:1

Marinhense - Naval: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide