Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Emley		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.83
	3.40	3.50	1.87
	4.1	3.4	1.8
	3.07	3.53	1.99
	3.6	3.92	1.86	Watch
	3	3.45	1.97
	3.55	3.76	1.92	Watch
	3.5	3.65	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.09)	3.6 ↑ (3.58)	1.89 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emley
26.4%

Draw
25.3%

Spennymoor Town
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.6%

25.5%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.3%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emley than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Emley - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 3)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Emley has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Spennymoor is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Spennymoor is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Spennymoor Town - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 44.9%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Emley
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	Bury - Emley	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
09.09.26	Bishop Auckland - Emley	0:2 AET ✺
06.09.26	Emley - Bishop Auckland	1:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Emley - Guiseley	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	Warrington Town - Emley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLT
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
12.09.26	Spennymoor Town - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Spennymoor Town - Spalding United	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Hereford - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Spennymoor Town - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Bedford Town - Spennymoor Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Emley
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.26	Emley - Lancaster City	✺
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
27.10.26	Spennymoor Town - South Shields	✺
24.10.26	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	✺

Emley - Spennymoor Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide