Match Info

National League North - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: The Brewery Field (Spennymoor)


	Spennymoor Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.40	2.10
	2.75	3.30	2.15
	2.60	3.25	2.35
	2.97	3.63	2.25
	2.85	3.69	2.23	Watch
	2.85	3.55	2.20
	3.01	3.55	2.20
	2.85	3.40	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.12)	3.47 ↑ (3.2)	2.21 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
32.2%

Draw
26.4%

Hednesford Town
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spennymoor Town's form might have worsened.

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hednesford Town's recent form is better than expected.

Spennymoor Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Dolan M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Rose A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In recent matches, Hednesford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Hednesford has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Spennymoor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Hednesford: 3.83% Spennymoor: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Hednesford	10	3	3	4	17:17	0	12
23	Spennymoor	10	1	4	5	11:21	-10	7

Last Results with these Odds

Spennymoor Town - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.21%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
29.08.26	Bedford Town - Spennymoor Town	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Spennymoor Town - Oxford City	1:4 ✺
18.08.26	Scarborough Athletic - Spennymoor Town	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Spennymoor Town - Marine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWT
- Hednesford Town
English National League North
28.08.26	Hednesford Town - Harborough Town	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	AFC Telford United - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Hednesford Town - Southport	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Hednesford Town - Scarborough Athletic	3:4 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Hednesford Town - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
07.01.17	Spennymoor Town - Hednesford Town	4:1
13.08.16	Hednesford Town - Spennymoor Town	3:1

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