Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: De Vliert ('s-Hertogenbosch)

Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)


	Den Bosch		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	1.81	4	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.90	3.10
	1.85	3.85	3.55	Watch
	1.95	4.35	3.51
	1.91	4.22	3.29	Watch
	1.84	4.3	3.45
	1.85	4	3.6	Watch
	1.87	3.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)	4.07 ↓ (4.13)	3.41 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
49.7%

Draw
22.9%

Dordrecht
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

22.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

21.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Den Bosch - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. (C) 25. Broker S. 3. Maas S. 33. Laros M. 18. Eikelboom H. 10. De Corte D. 16. Wang B. 11. de Vries J. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 8. Monzialo K.	28. Coremans T. (C) 22. van Aken J. 4. Pinas J. 3. Henderikx S. 5. Mpanzu B. 8. Vugts S. 6. Riccio L. 11. Rossi N. 21. Vetkal M. 10. Ouarghi A. 77. Sits D.
Substitutes
2. Barglan S. 56. De Kruijff J. 41. de Rooij K. 55. Hessels G. 27. Hoffman L. 21. Murre F. (G) 17. Semedo E. 7. Sille G. 66. van Balsfoort R. (G) 4. Van Heertum J.	9. de Bie J. 29. Felicia N. 51. Gardenier L. 44. Hardley B. 13. Hogervorst D. (G) 2. Lechkar A. 15. M'Bemba Y. 1. Oldenstam F. (G) 16. Roman L. 23. Woudenberg L.
Coaches
Schreuder B.	Nuijten P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Wang B. ↓, Barglan S. ↑,
53', Vugts S. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Vugts S. ⚽, Ouarghi A. (A),
62', Sits D. 🟨,
62', Sits D. ↓, de Bie J. ↑,
62', Vugts S. ↓, Felicia N. ↑,
71', Fortes J. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
71', Broker S. ↓, Hoffman L. ↑,
71', de Vries J. ↓, De Kruijff J. ↑,
77', Rossi N. ↓, Gardenier L. ↑,
81', Mpanzu B. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Monzialo K. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Ouarghi A. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 0.

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Den Bosch may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Den Bosch holding a narrow advantage.

Doubtful / questionable for Den Bosch: Akmum R. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Dordrecht: Artic T. (Injury) Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Raatsie C. (Hand Injury) Venema N. (Groin Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Den Bosch has recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:38 (averaging 2.2:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Den Bosch against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 22:15 goals (averaging 2:1.4 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Dordrecht: 0.82% Den Bosch: 0.51%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	13:18	-5	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	13:24	-11	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.09.26	De Graafschap - Den Bosch	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Volendam - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Jong PSV - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Den Bosch - Vitesse	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.09.26	Dordrecht - Almere City	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	FC Oss - Dordrecht	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:6 ✺
28.08.26	Volendam - Dordrecht	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.01.26	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	3:2
12.09.25	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	3:3
12.04.25	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	4:0
01.12.24	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	2:3
29.03.24	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	0:3
27.10.23	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	5:1
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	2:0

Upcoming Matches