Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	16:30	ESPN


	Emmen		Almere City

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.00	2.70	Watch
	2.15	3.60	2.75
	2.23	3.70	2.60	Watch
	2.26	3.80	2.96
	2.2	3.72	2.95	Watch
	2.20	3.65	2.70
	2.20	3.99	2.75	Watch
	2.16	3.65	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 (2.19)	3.76 ↑ (3.59)	2.77 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emmen
42.1%

Draw
24.5%

Almere City
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Emmen - Almere City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karssies S. (G) 24. Everink L. 25. Kongolo R. 3. Dede-Lhomme Y. 17. Van Hove B. 21. Hojabrpour A. 7. Rhein T. 40. Veldhuis S. 12. Quispel F. 22. Breij M. (C) 9. Cooper-Love J.	1. Speel W. (G) 2. Wasinski M. 3. Jacobs Jo. 44. van Bruggen D. 16. Vianello T. 6. Cornelisse E. 10. Jacobs Ja. 8. de Haan M. 17. Poku E. 9. Druijf F. (C) 11. Dors M.
Substitutes
18. Carus V. 8. Denk L. 27. Huijzer J. 23. Lambers D. 2. Mukeh J. 38. Norder K. (G) 4. Ostergaard C. 33. Roos K. (G) 15. Sunder C. 14. van Manen S.	5. Bijleveld T. 7. Burgering B. 21. el Dahri H. 14. Hoedemakers M. 18. Huisman B. 20. Kalisvaart J. 4. Lawrence J. 23. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 22. van de Blaak E. 31. van der Mark J. (G) 30. van der Wilt J. 26. van der Zeeuw T.
Coaches
van Dam M.	Dastgir A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Cooper-Love J. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Cooper-Love J. ⚽, Quispel F. (A),
28', Jacobs Jo. 🟨,
30', Poku E. 🟨,
33', Cooper-Love J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', de Haan M. ↓, Hoedemakers M. ↑,
46', Poku E. ↓, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↑,
46', Wasinski M. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
72', Veldhuis S. ↓, van Manen S. ↑,
72', Quispel F. ↓, Lambers D. ↑,
72', Vianello T. ↓, Bijleveld T. ↑,
72', Jacobs Ja. ↓, Burgering B. ↑,
74', van Manen S. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽, el Dahri H. (A),
84', Rhein T. ↓, Denk L. ↑,
86', Hoedemakers M. 🟨,
90+3', Breij M. ↓, Carus V. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Eredivisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 1.

In recent outings, Emmen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Almere City shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Emmen: Amadin N. (Muscle Injury) Baron D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Claridge A. (Knee Injury) Staring C. (Knee Injury) Voute D. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Emmen: Quispel P. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Emmen has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:43 (averaging 1.8:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Emmen against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 22:21 goals (averaging 2.2:2.1 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FC Emmen	12	8	1	3	26:19	7	25
4	Almere City	12	7	1	4	25:12	13	22

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

FC Emmen: 8.7% Almere City: 7.83%

Last Results with these Odds

Emmen - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.65%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.10.26	Dordrecht - Emmen	0:3 ✺
03.10.26	Waalwijk - Emmen	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Emmen - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	FC Eindhoven - Emmen	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	Emmen - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWLL
- Almere City FC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.10.26	Almere City - FC Eindhoven	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Almere City - Volendam	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	Dordrecht - Almere City	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Almere City - Heracles Almelo	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Almere City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.26	Emmen - Almere City	4:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.12.25	Almere City - Emmen	4:2
17.08.25	Emmen - Almere City	1:4
11.06.23	Emmen - Almere City	1:2
06.06.23	Almere City - Emmen	2:0
11.02.22	Almere City - Emmen	0:0
29.11.21	Emmen - Almere City	3:0

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