Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 10

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht)

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)


	Dordrecht		Emmen

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.90	1.91	Watch
	3.10	3.60	2.00
	2.85	3.70	2.07	Watch
	3.34	3.94	2.03
	2.85	3.94	2.18	Watch
	3.25	3.90	2.00
	3.38	3.88	1.94	Watch
	3.10	3.70	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.72)	3.82 ↓ (3.9)	2.01 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
29.4%

Draw
24.3%

Emmen
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

24%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

22.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dordrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dordrecht - Emmen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - under (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Coremans T. (G) 22. van Aken J. 4. Pinas J. (C) 3. Henderikx S. 5. Mpanzu B. 8. Vugts S. 6. Riccio L. 11. Rossi N. 21. Vetkal M. 10. Ouarghi A. 9. de Bie J.	1. Karssies S. (G) 24. Everink L. 25. Kongolo R. 3. Dede-Lhomme Y. 17. Van Hove B. 21. Hojabrpour A. 7. Rhein T. 40. Veldhuis S. 12. Quispel F. 22. Breij M. (C) 9. Cooper-Love J.
Substitutes
29. Felicia N. 51. Gardenier L. 44. Hardley B. 13. Kooymans J. (G) 2. Lechkar A. 15. M'Bemba Y. 1. Oldenstam F. (G) 16. Roman L. 18. van Asten R. 23. Woudenberg L.	10. Abdullatif M. 18. Carus V. 27. Huijzer J. 23. Lambers D. 2. Mukeh J. 38. Norder K. (G) 4. Ostergaard C. 33. Roos K. (G) 15. Sunder C. 26. Timmerman D.
Coaches
Nuijten P.	van Dam M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Cooper-Love J. ⚽, Veldhuis S. (A),
32', Ouarghi A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Quispel F. ⚽, Cooper-Love J. (A),
43', Rossi N. 🟨,
45+1', Riccio L. 🟨,
45+1', Cooper-Love J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', van Aken J. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
46', Rossi N. ↓, Roman L. ↑,
51', Van Hove B. 🟨,
63', Quispel F. ↓, Abdullatif M. ↑,
63', Vetkal M. ↓, Felicia N. ↑,
63', de Bie J. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
71', Veldhuis S. ↓, Lambers D. ↑,
71', Van Hove B. ↓, Carus V. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Abdullatif M. ⚽, Everink L. (A),
90+2', Hojabrpour A. ↓, Mukeh J. ↑,
90+2', Breij M. ↓, Sunder C. ↑,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 18th and 4th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Dordrecht (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Emmen has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Emmen: Amadin N. (Muscle Injury) Baron D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Claridge A. (Knee Injury) Staring C. (Knee Injury) Voute D. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Dordrecht: Artic T. (Injury) Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Raatsie C. (Hand Injury) Venema N. (Groin Injury) van Osch Y. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Emmen: Quispel P. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dordrecht has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:31 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dordrecht against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

FC Emmen: 3.87% Dordrecht: 0.65%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	FC Emmen	10	6	1	3	22:18	4	19
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8

Last Results with these Odds

Dordrecht - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Emmen - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.7%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.26	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Dordrecht - Almere City	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	FC Oss - Dordrecht	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLLL
- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.26	Waalwijk - Emmen	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Emmen - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	FC Eindhoven - Emmen	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	Emmen - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Emmen - Volendam	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.02.26	Dordrecht - Emmen	1:0
19.09.25	Emmen - Dordrecht	2:0
28.02.25	Dordrecht - Emmen	3:0
09.08.24	Emmen - Dordrecht	1:2
18.05.24	Dordrecht - Emmen	0:1
14.05.24	Emmen - Dordrecht	2:2
23.12.23	Dordrecht - Emmen	2:1

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