Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 10

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: AFAS Trainingscomplex (Wijdewormer)

Referee: Smit S. (Ned)


	Jong AZ Alkmaar		Den Bosch

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.33	3.4	Watch
	1.87	4.10	3.10
	1.88	4.05	3.35	Watch
	1.9	4.58	3.29
	1.89	4.53	3.18	Watch
	1.86	4.4	3.2
	1.87	4.33	3.19	Watch
	1.89	4.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	4.3 ↓ (4.5)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong AZ Alkmaar
49.6%

Draw
21.6%

Den Bosch
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

20.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

19.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch Predictions

Users Predictions: Jong AZ Alkmaar will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Natali A. 4. Elkjaer F. 5. Inge K. 6. Robbemond R. 8. Oerip J. (C) 7. Toppenberg K. 10. de Wit H. 11. Bouziane W. 9. Bergraaf J.	1. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. (C) 25. Broker S. 3. Maas S. 18. Eikelboom H. 2. Barglan S. 11. de Vries J. 10. De Corte D. 33. Laros M. 8. Monzialo K. 9. Karlsson Grach S.
Substitutes
18. Budko B. 15. Esajas J. 19. Groot G. 20. Hartog J. 16. Ka I. (G) 14. Menu M. 23. Schipper J. (G) 21. Sijbrands J. 17. Simons S. 12. van Ouytsel K.	31. Bijlsma T. (G) 40. Boumassaoudi I. 54. De Kruijff J. 41. de Rooij K. 55. Hessels G. 27. Hoffman L. 21. Murre F. (G) 17. Semedo E. 4. Van Heertum J. 35. van Schuppen B. 16. Wang B.
Coaches
Peereboom F.	Schreuder B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Eikelboom H. ⚽, Monzialo K. (A),
43', Oerip J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', de Vries J. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
46', Bergraaf J. ↓, Groot G. ↑,
61', Bouziane W. ↓, Sijbrands J. ↑,
61', Toppenberg K. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
77', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
81', de Wit H. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
87', Natali A. ↓, Menu M. ↑,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.

Jong AZ is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Den Bosch is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Jong AZ could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Jong AZ holding a narrow advantage.

Doubtful / questionable for Den Bosch: Akmum R. (Injury).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Jong AZ has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:33 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jong AZ against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 7 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1.1 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Den Bosch: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Jong AZ	10	4	1	5	22:18	4	13
14	Den Bosch	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Den Bosch - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.14%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.09.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	4:1 ✺
14.09.26	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Heracles Almelo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:6 ✺
31.08.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLWW
- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.26	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	De Graafschap - Den Bosch	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Volendam - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Jong PSV - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.02.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	2:2
26.09.25	Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:3
28.04.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	0:0
16.08.24	Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar	6:0
16.02.24	Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0
11.12.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	0:0
17.02.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch	3:1

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