Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Emmen		FC Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.45	5.4
	1.53	4.75	5.48
	1.00	15.96	30.00	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.74)	6.8 ↑ (4.01)	10.29 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emmen
74.3%

Draw
15.5%

FC Eindhoven
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

19%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emmen's performance.

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-30.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emmen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Emmen - FC Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - FC Eindhoven (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 25%). FC Eindhoven (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Unbehaun L. (G) 36. Everink L. 4. Ostergaard C. 6. Mulder P. (C) 17. Larsen L. 8. Bakir A. 19. Claridge A. 21. Nunumete D. 77. Gerezgiher F. 9. Postema R. 5. Geypens T.	1. Borgmans J. (G) 2. Simons T. 24. Renfrum O. 33. Neeskens J. 25. Douglas T. 5. Huisman D. (C) 6. Dorenbosch D. 8. Simons S. 7. Blummel S. 32. Janga R. 23. Lukoki Mateso E.
Substitutes
11. Amadin N. 22. Beukers D. 34. Bolk G. 1. Bucker K. (G) 18. Evina F. 24. Mesbahi J. 16. Norder K. (G) 23. Oostra T. 26. Otten D. 12. Quispel F. 15. Sunder C. 14. van Manen S.	20. Bryson A. 19. de Moes S. 22. Essers C. 28. Haddaoui Z. 21. Muller T. 18. Munsters N. 80. Mununga T. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)
Coaches
van Dam M.	Verberne M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Douglas T. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Postema R. ⚽,
44', Dorenbosch D. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Ostergaard C. ↓, Mesbahi J. ↑,
46', Huisman D. ↓, Haddaoui Z. ↑,
46', Blummel S. ↓, Essers C. ↑,
52', Janga R. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Bakir A. ⚽, Claridge A. (A),
59', Bakir A. 🟨,
63', 3 - 0, Postema R. ⚽, Nunumete D. (A),
64', Geypens T. ↓, Amadin N. ↑,
64', Neeskens J. 🟨,
64', Renfrum O. 🟨,
67', Lukoki Mateso E. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
72', Bakir A. ↓, Quispel F. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Amadin N. ⚽, Larsen L. (A),
75', Dorenbosch D. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,
79', Everink L. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
79', Nunumete D. ↓, Otten D. ↑,
84', 5 - 0, Amadin N. ⚽, Postema R. (A),
90', Douglas T. ↓, de Moes S. ↑,
90+2', 6 - 0, Mulder P. ⚽, Postema R. (A),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 1.

Emmen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

FC Eindhoven has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Emmen is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury) Rhein T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Emmen: Nunumete D. (Head Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.25	Cambuur - Emmen	3:2 ✺
30.09.25	Emmen - Vitesse	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	MVV Maastricht - Emmen	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Emmen - Dordrecht	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Emmen - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT
- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.25	MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
30.09.25	FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Helmond Sport - FC Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	FC Eindhoven - FC Oss	3:4 ✺
15.09.25	Almere City - FC Eindhoven	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.01.25	Emmen - FC Eindhoven	1:2
18.10.24	FC Eindhoven - Emmen	0:3
02.02.24	Emmen - FC Eindhoven	1:1
08.12.23	FC Eindhoven - Emmen	3:2
29.04.22	FC Eindhoven - Emmen	1:0
13.08.21	Emmen - FC Eindhoven	0:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.20	Emmen - FC Eindhoven	2:0

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