Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Cambuur		Emmen

	1	X	2
	1.41	5	5.5	Watch
	1.46	4.5	5.5
	1.43	4.95	5.9
	1.45	5.16	6.1
	1.91	2.88	5.02	Watch
	1.45	5.02	5.52	Watch
	1.42	4.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)	4.59 ↓ (4.7)	5.59 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
62.6%

Draw
20.5%

Emmen
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

19.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

18.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Emmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Cambuur - Emmen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Emmen (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cambuur will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambuur will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Emmen (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 3. Berkhout J. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 7. Balk R. 8. Souren N. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 14. van der Sande J. 11. Sjostrand O.	38. Unbehaun L. (C) 36. Everink L. 4. Ostergaard C. 24. Mesbahi J. 17. Larsen L. 25. Kongolo R. 8. Bakir A. 21. Nunumete D. 77. Gerezgiher F. 9. Postema R. 34. Bolk G.
Substitutes
13. Binder N. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 27. Kooistra W. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 46. Nap J. 33. Priem J. 18. Rolke T. 30. van der Veen Y. 9. Visser K.	22. Beukers D. 1. Bucker K. (G) 18. Evina F. 5. Geypens T. 16. Norder K. (G) 23. Oostra T. 26. Otten D. 12. Quispel F. 2. Soares J. 14. van Manen S.
Coaches
de Jong H.	van Dam M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Everink L. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Postema R. ⚽,
32', Bakir A. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Balk R. ⚽, Jansen T. (A),
38', van der Sande J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Balk R. ⚽, Sjostrand O. (A),
55', Nunumete D. ↓, Quispel F. ↑,
64', Kongolo R. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
64', Gerezgiher F. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Ferrah I. ⚽,
75', Souren N. ↓, Jonker T. ↑,
75', van der Sande J. ↓, Binder N. ↑,
75', Amofa J. ↓, Rolke T. ↑,
75', Mesbahi J. ↓, Beukers D. ↑,
75', Everink L. ↓, van Manen S. ↑,
78', Ferrah I. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Geypens T. ⚽,
87', Sjostrand O. ↓, Priem J. ↑,
87', Balk R. 🟨,
90+5', Diemers M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 0.

Cambuur is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Emmen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Emmen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cambuur is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Cambuur will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.09.25	Roda - Cambuur	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Cambuur - Jong PSV	5:3 ✺
22.09.25	Jong Utrecht - Cambuur	2:4 ✺
12.09.25	MVV Maastricht - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Cambuur - Willem II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWWT
- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.09.25	Emmen - Vitesse	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	MVV Maastricht - Emmen	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Emmen - Dordrecht	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Emmen - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	De Graafschap - Emmen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.04.25	Emmen - Cambuur	3:0
29.09.24	Cambuur - Emmen	1:3
23.02.24	Emmen - Cambuur	2:0
11.08.23	Cambuur - Emmen	2:2
Dutch Eredivisie
01.04.23	Cambuur - Emmen	1:2
15.01.23	Emmen - Cambuur	0:0
Club Friendly
30.07.21	Cambuur - Emmen	Canceled

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