Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 33

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: De Oude Meerdijk (Emmen)

Referee: van Boekel P. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Sport Extra
Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Emmen		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.5	Watch
	5.75	4.6	1.51
	5.6	4.9	1.49
	5.5	4.5	1.48
	5.89	4.91	1.52
	5.8	4.33	1.5	Watch
	5.55	4.65	1.52	Watch
	5.8	4.8	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↓ (7.67)	4.68 ↓ (5.4)	1.5 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emmen
16.6%

Draw
20.3%

Feyenoord
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

17.3%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

16.7%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Feyenoord might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Feyenoord could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	5%	45%

Emmen - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Emmen will win (votes: 10 - 50%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Emmen has the most likely position - 16 (78.35%), project points - 29, currently - 28, a good chance of relegated (78%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

Feyenoord has the most likely position - 1 (100%), project points - 83, currently - 79, not chance of relegated, already of qualify for ucl, already of win league.

This event has quality 49, importance 49, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Emmen won 0.

Emmen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Feyenoord is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Feyenoord is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Emmen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Emmen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Emmen
Dutch Eredivisie
14.05.23	AZ Alkmaar - Emmen	5:1 ✺
07.05.23	Emmen - Twente	0:3 ✺
22.04.23	Heerenveen - Emmen	2:3 ✺
16.04.23	Ajax - Emmen	3:1 ✺
09.04.23	Emmen - NEC Nijmegen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWLT
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
14.05.23	Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles	3:0 ✺
07.05.23	Excelsior - Feyenoord	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Feyenoord - Utrecht	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.04.23	Roma - Feyenoord	4:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.04.23	Cambuur - Feyenoord	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.12.22	Feyenoord - Emmen	5:0
Dutch Eredivisie
27.08.22	Feyenoord - Emmen	4:0
20.03.21	Feyenoord - Emmen	1:1
01.11.20	Emmen - Feyenoord	2:3
01.02.20	Feyenoord - Emmen	3:0
22.09.19	Emmen - Feyenoord	3:3
03.03.19	Feyenoord - Emmen	4:0

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