The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AZ Alkmaar 71.1%
Draw 18.1%
Emmen 10.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.7%
17.5%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75.1%
16.7%
10.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
The chances for Emmen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.2%
0%
23.8%
AZ Alkmaar - Emmen Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Emmen will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 58% โ 94.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
AZ has the most likely position - 4 (75.56%), project points - 66, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
Emmen has the most likely position - 16 (69.46%), project points - 30, currently - 28, a good chance of relegated (69%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality48, importance50, match rating49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches AZ won 5.
AZ is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Emmen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match AZ is certain favorite.
There will not play in AZ: Chatzidiakos P.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in AZ: Karlsson J.
(Injury)
Martins Indi B.
(Hip Injury)
Westerveld S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Emmen: Guclu M.
(Injury)
Kieftenbeld M.
(Knee Injury)
Lieder M.
(Knee Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches AZ won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-3.
Including matches at home between the teams AZ won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.
Greece
Netherlands
Romania
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