The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cittadella 29.5%
Draw 33.3%
Chievo 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
33.9%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
23.4%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cittadella's form might have worsened.
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chievo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chievo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
43.3%
43.3%
Cittadella - Chievo Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Chievo will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chievo: 25.6% โ 61%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Cittadella has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (72%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has not chance of win league.
Chievo has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (86%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cittadella is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Chievo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cittadella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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