The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chievo 47.1%
Draw 29.7%
SPAL 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
30.1%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
19.6%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chievo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SPAL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
51.4%
37.8%
10.8%
Chievo - SPAL Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Chievo will win (votes: 19 - 51.4%). SPAL will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 37.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chievo: 35.3% โ 67.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Chievo has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (70%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
SPAL has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (69%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Chievo will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Chievo won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Chievo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.
Watch
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