Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 20

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz


	Envigado		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.4	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.4
	2.24	2.95	3.15	Watch
	2.33	3.03	3.22
	2.32	3.05	3.26	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.31	3.2	3.18
	2.12	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.14)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
41.1%

Draw
30.9%

Llaneros SA
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.4%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Envigado - Llaneros SA Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Envigado will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Envigado will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 27. Uribe N. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 2. Palacios D. 21. Lopez E. (C) 14. Hinestroza J. 26. Arcila D. 33. Londono E. 7. Dawson D. 10. Garces J. 34. Diaz L.	22. Romana Garavito R. (G) 20. Angulo J. 33. Lasso J. 28. Mina Chara J. E. 31. Montes G. 4. Mojica A. 8. Lopez A. 5. Restrepo E. 27. Mosquera D. 10. Uruena B. (C) 9. Rangel M.
Substitutes
70. Araujo J. 15. Cuervo S. 12. Escobar R. (G) 18. Hurtado W. 19. Londono S. 8. Pabon D. 6. Palacio J.	1. Armesto K. (G) 11. Espinal F. 16. Mayorga J. 26. Pulgarin J. 17. Reina H. 6. Sierra M. 30. Vega O.
Coaches
Orozco A.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Uribe N. 🟨,
44', Lopez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 1 - 0, Arcila D. (Pen),
65', Mojica A. ↓, Espinal F. ↑,
65', Mosquera D. ↓, Reina H. ↑,
67', Restrepo E. 🟨,
71', Hinestroza J. 🟨,
74', Garces J. ↓, Londono S. ↑,
74', Dawson D. ↓, Pabon D. ↑,
81', Restrepo E. ↓, Vega O. ↑,
81', Lopez A. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
81', Montes G. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
82', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
86', Arcila D. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Reina H. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, Rangel M. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Llaneros SA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Envigado might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
16.05.25	Millonarios - Envigado	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Boyacá Chicó - Envigado	1:0 ✺
01.05.25	Envigado - Once Caldas	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
19.05.25	Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima	1:3 ✺
11.05.25	Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
17.04.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Llaneros SA	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

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