Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	02:05	Sport TV
Colombia	18:05	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South America	—	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	19:05	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2


	Llaneros SA		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.6	Watch
	2.60	3.20	2.50
	2.95	3.15	2.35	Watch
	3.02	3.29	2.5
	2.96	3.22	2.41	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.7
	3.06	3.14	2.52	Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.65)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	2.5 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
32.6%

Draw
29.8%

Independiente Santa Fe
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

28.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Romana Garavito R. (G) 2. Mena Posada H. H. 26. Quintero D. 4. Pertuz J. 16. Escobar Salcedo J. 13. Castilla J. 10. Ospina N. (C) 8. Ramirez J. 14. Rincon K. 7. Miranda L. 17. Mena Y.	12. Asprilla W. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 32. Mafla C. 7. Torres J. 16. Torres D. 77. Obrian J. 9. Fagundez F. 10. Zapata A. 11. Rodallega H. (C)
Substitutes
32. Castaneda F. 20. Chury B. 70. Contreras J. 9. Cortes C. 33. Kelvin Osorio 12. Loaiza J. (G) 94. Medranda J. 6. Sierra M. 3. Vidal V.	43. Caicedo J. 31. Espitia J. (G) 17. Lovera M. 21. Murillo E. 14. Palacios L. 39. Portocarrero C. 4. Puerta M. 25. Rodriguez E. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Repetto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Torres J. 🟨,
24', Rincon K. 🟨,
28', Rodallega H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zapata A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
46', Torres J. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
56', Miranda L. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
56', Rincon K. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
67', Mena Y. ↓, Cortes C. ↑,
67', Castilla J. ↓, Castaneda F. ↑,
67', Ramirez J. ↓, Kelvin Osorio ↑,
70', Torres D. ↓, Murillo E. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Cortes C. ⚽,
82', Obrian J. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
82', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
89', Kelvin Osorio 🟨,
90+4', Sierra M. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 7th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

Recent results have been tough for Llaneros SA (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Santa Fe shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Santa Fe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Llaneros SA has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Llaneros SA against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Santa Fe	15	8	4	3	23:15	8	28
14	Llaneros	16	5	2	9	16:21	-5	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Copa
15.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Llaneros SA	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
09.10.26	Once Caldas - Llaneros SA	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Llaneros SA - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLLW
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Copa
11.10.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF	3:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
05.10.26	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
25.09.26	Unión Magdalena - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
22.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
01.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA	0:1
12.10.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA	1:3
30.04.25	Llaneros SA - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1

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