Match Info

Copa Colombia - Second stage - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Millonarios		Envigado

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6	Watch
	1.39	4.1	6.5
	1.44	3.9	6.3	Watch
	1.42	4.05	8.19
	1.44	4.51	6.33	Watch
	1.43	4.1	7.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)	4.17 ↑ (3.69)	6.76 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
64.3%

Draw
22.1%

Envigado
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

25%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

24.2%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Millonarios - Envigado Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Envigado (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Novoa D. (G) 27. Giraldo N. 6. Mosquera S. 3. Diaz Samuel M. 17. Arias J. 5. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 28. Vega S. 23. Castro L. 80. Canozales C. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 99. Hurtado J.	88. Tovar A. (G) 2. Palacios D. 4. Uribe N. 27. Quejada J. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 9. Berrio F. 6. Palacio J. 13. Soto T. 21. Lopez E. (C) 7. Diaz L. 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A.
Substitutes
22. Arboleda I. (G) 10. Bruno Savio 25. Cuero B. 43. Marimon L. 35. Mosquera S. 13. Palacios H. 4. Vargas J. 8. Victoria Palacios D. S. 30. Viveros S.	30. Agron B. 20. Araujo J. 15. Cuervo S. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 11. Garces J. 17. Gomez L. 14. Hinestroza J. 1. Montoya J. (G) 16. Ramirez N.
Coaches
Torres H.	Orozco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Berrio F. 🟨,
11', Hurtado J. 🟨,
33', Valencia Mosquera D. A. 🟨,
37', Mosquera S. 🟨,
38', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
70', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
70', Canozales C. 🟨,
72', Soto T. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
72', Berrio F. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
74', Lopez E. 🟨,
78', Vega S. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
78', Hurtado J. ↓, Marimon L. ↑,
85', Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
85', Tovar A. 🟨,
88', Bruno Savio 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Millonarios is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
13.09.25	Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios	3:0 ✺
10.09.25	Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
03.09.25	Envigado - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.08.25	Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLW
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
13.09.25	Once Caldas - Envigado	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
03.09.25	Envigado - Millonarios	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
31.08.25	Atlético Nacional - Envigado	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Envigado - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
03.09.25	Envigado - Millonarios	1:0
Colombian Primera A
16.05.25	Millonarios - Envigado	1:0
28.09.24	Millonarios - Envigado	3:0
17.03.24	Envigado - Millonarios	1:1
25.09.23	Envigado - Millonarios	1:2
04.05.23	Millonarios - Envigado	1:1
22.07.22	Millonarios - Envigado	1:0

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