Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play


	Envigado		Real Cartagena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.25	3.05	3.1	Watch
	2.27	3.15	3.2
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.23	2.99	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.2)	3.02 ↓ (3.23)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
40.6%

Draw
30.2%

Real Cartagena
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.4%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Envigado - Real Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 19. Acuna S. 80. Aristizabal J. 14. Betancurt M. 15. Cuervo G. 34. Diaz L. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 21. Lopez E. 9. Marulanda M. 5. Norena S. 2. Palacios D.	22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 7. Barrera J. 6. Escobar A. 26. Graciano C. 30. Herrera J. 23. Lora R. 27. Melendez A. 10. Montero F. (C) 14. Pino D. 21. Rodriguez J. 24. Tegue G.
Substitutes
20. Catano J. 7. Dawson D. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 23. Hernandez J. 11. Hurtado W. 33. Londono E. 22. Mendoza J. (G) 26. Valencia Mosquera D. A. 17. Zapata E.	17. Aleman J. 15. Florez C. 8. Guevara L. 9. Manotas M. 1. Montes A. (G) 20. Nieva J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 11. Yanes L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Solarte Espana J. A. 🟨,
14', Rodriguez J. ↓, Guevara L. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Acuna S. ⚽,
35', Norena S. 🟨,
45+1', Acuna S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Escobar A. ↓, Manotas M. ↑,
46', Melendez A. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
46', Herrera J. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
55', Acuna S. 🟨,
61', Marulanda M. ↓, Valencia Mosquera D. A. ↑,
75', Graciano C. ↓, Florez C. ↑,
87', Lopez E. ↓, Zapata E. ↑,
88', Zapata E. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Montero F. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 3-2.

Envigado is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Real Cartagena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Cartagena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Envigado could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15
10	Envigado	11	2	6	3	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
25.05.26	Real Cartagena - Envigado	2:3 ✺
18.05.26	Envigado - Deportes Quindío	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	Tigres - Envigado	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Internacional de Palmira - Envigado	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Envigado - Internacional de Palmira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWTT
- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
25.05.26	Real Cartagena - Envigado	2:3 ✺
21.05.26	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Cartagena	3:0 ✺
08.05.26	Real Cartagena - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
25.05.26	Real Cartagena - Envigado	2:3
16.03.26	Envigado - Real Cartagena	1:1
Colombian Copa
29.08.24	Real Cartagena - Envigado	2:1
08.05.24	Envigado - Real Cartagena	2:0

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