Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 10

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday

Location: Nuevo Estadio de Malabo (Malabo)

Referee: Chimene B. (Zim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Equatorial-guinea	TVGE Internacional
Liberia	Liberia National TV
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Equatorial Guinea		Liberia

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.25	Watch
				Watch
	3.35	2.92	2.28
	3.46	2.97	2.27
	3.59	2.84	2.28	Watch
				Watch
	3.57	3.05	2.37	Watch
	1.54	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (1.55)	3.07 ↓ (3.75)	2.91 ↓ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Equatorial Guinea
32.2%

Draw
33%

Liberia
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

24.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Equatorial Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Equatorial Guinea's form might have worsened.

Liberia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liberia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.1%	1.6%	85.2%

Equatorial Guinea - Liberia Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Equ Guinea will win (votes: 7 - 11.9%). Liberia will win (votes: 51 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liberia: 77.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Liberia (1.64) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Liberia (1.35) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

EH +1 - Liberia (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Liberia (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liberia will win (37 of 39 users predict this - 94.87%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 51 Selected Experts predict this event. Equ Guinea (votes: 1 - 2%). Liberia (votes: 49 - 96.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sapunga M. (G) Sekhukhune 19. Asue L. Shanghai Shenhua 4. Bikoro F. 20. Eneme S. Sparta Prague 3. Esono V. 17. Joel Akogo G. Granada CF 5. Mbele D. Akonangui 22. Mum Boho J. Muza Fc 7. Nabil J. Nantes 2. Nguema M. A. Vegetarianos 9. Salomon O. Tlaxcala	1. Yeanaye J. (G) Nimba Kwado 14. Andrews N. Fgura 17. Bah M. Sliema 12. Balde P. Rosengard 19. Dorley O. (C) Slavia Prague 4. Dweh S. Plzen 3. Fully E. Slavia Prague 21. Gono E. Start 11. Tarnue P. Watanga 8. Teah D. FK Pardubice 6. Tweh S. Al Raed
Coaches
Obiang Bicogo J. M.	Kojo T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Gono E. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Bikoro F. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Andrews N. ⚽, Teah D. (A),
29', Nguema M. A. 🟨,
45+1', Tarnue P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gono E. ↓, Kosiah A. ↑,
46', Teah D. ↓, Ledlum E. ↑,
60', Dweh S. 🟨,
62', Asue L. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
72', Joel Akogo G. ↓, Mba D. ↑,
79', Nabil J. 🟨,
82', Mum Boho J. 🟨,
85', Andrews N. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
90+2', Tweh S. 🟨,

Preview

Equ Guinea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Equ Guinea won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Equatorial Guinea
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Malawi - Equatorial Guinea	Malawi awarded ✺
08.09.25	Equatorial Guinea - Tunisia	0:1 ✺
04.09.25	São Tomé and Príncipe - Equatorial Guinea	2:3 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Equatorial Guinea - Gambia	1:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Namibia - Equatorial Guinea	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 ?LWLT
- Liberia
FIFA World Cup
09.10.25	Liberia - Namibia	3:1 ✺
08.09.25	Malawi - Liberia	2:2 ✺
04.09.25	Tunisia - Liberia	3:0 ✺
24.03.25	Liberia - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Liberia - Tunisia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
14.10.24	Liberia - Equatorial Guinea	1:2
11.10.24	Equatorial Guinea - Liberia	1:0
FIFA World Cup
20.11.23	Liberia - Equatorial Guinea	0:1

Equatorial Guinea - Liberia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide