Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 9

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Bingu National Stadium (Lilongwe)

Referee: Xuseen Xasan A. (Som)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now
Equatorial-guinea	TVGE Internacional
India	FanCode, FanCode
Malawi	MBC
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
South-africa	SuperSport Football
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Malawi		Equatorial Guinea

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.63	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.2	Watch
	2.98	2.78	2.62
	3.05	2.84	2.66
	2.55	3.04	2.75	Watch
	2.8	2.88	2.73	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.26)	2.98 ↓ (3.21)	2.57 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malawi
32%

Draw
31.5%

Equatorial Guinea
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

29%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malawi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Equatorial Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Equatorial Guinea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	72.2%	16.7%

Malawi - Equatorial Guinea Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Malawi will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Equ Guinea will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Malawi (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 11 - 91.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malawi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malawi
FIFA World Cup
08.09.25	Malawi - Liberia	2:2 ✺
05.09.25	Namibia - Malawi	1:2 ✺
COSAFA Cup
10.06.25	Malawi - Angola	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Namibia - Malawi	0:0 ✺
05.06.25	Malawi - Lesotho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLTL
- Equatorial Guinea
FIFA World Cup
08.09.25	Equatorial Guinea - Tunisia	0:1 ✺
04.09.25	São Tomé and Príncipe - Equatorial Guinea	2:3 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Equatorial Guinea - Gambia	1:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Namibia - Equatorial Guinea	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Equatorial Guinea - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Equatorial Guinea - Malawi	1:0

Malawi - Equatorial Guinea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide