Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Nuevo Estadio de Malabo (Malabo)

Referee: Milazare P. (Mus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Equatorial-guinea	TVGE Internacional
India	FanCode, FanCode
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Tunisia	Watania 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Equatorial Guinea		Tunisia

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.8	2.25	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.45	2.92	2.22
	3.49	2.94	2.27
	3.59	2.78	2.32	Watch
				Watch
	3.97	2.85	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (3.71)	2.92 ↓ (3.4)	2.23 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Equatorial Guinea
25.9%

Draw
32.1%

Tunisia
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27.6%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Equatorial Guinea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tunisia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tunisia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	24%	68%

Equatorial Guinea - Tunisia Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Equ Guinea will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Tunisia will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tunisia: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tunisia (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Equ Guinea (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Equ Guinea (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Equ Guinea (votes: 2 - 20%). Tunisia (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owono J. (G) FC Andorra 15. Akapo C. Amazonas 16. Coco S. Torino 20. Eneme S. Sparta Prague 22. Ganet P. Persita 5. Mascarell O. Mallorca 11. Ndong B. 10. Nsue E. (C) CF Intercity 14. Obiang P. Monza 21. Orozco E. Campionii Arges 6. Salvador I. Wisla Plock	16. Dahmen A. (G) CS Sfaxien 7. Achouri E. FC Copenhagen 12. Ben Ouanes M. Kasimpasa 6. Bronn D. Servette 14. Laidouni A. Al Wakra 9. Mastouri H. Dynamo Makhachkala 10. Mejbri H. Burnley 8. Saad E. Augsburg 13. Sassi F. (C) Al-Gharafa 3. Talbi M. Lorient 20. Valery Y. Sheffield Wed
Substitutes
3. Anieboh M. San Sebastian Reyes 4. Boriko S. Arenas Getxo 8. Buyla J. Numancia 13. Embela A. (G) Lorca FC 9. Hanza D. Viborg 17. Joel Akogo G. Granada CF 19. Masogo A. Beroe 7. Nabil J. Nantes 12. Ngaah M. UD Logrones 2. Nsue L. Negeri Sembilan FA 23. Sapunga M. (G) Sekhukhune 18. Zuniga L.	15. Belhadj M. Lugano 2. Ben Hamida M. Esperance Tunis 5. Ben Romdhane M. Al Ahly 22. Ben Said B. (G) Esperance Tunis 19. Chaouat F. Club Africain 1. Farhati N. (G) Stade Tunisien 11. Gharbi I. Augsburg 18. Ghram A. Shakhtar 4. Meriah Y. Esperance Tunis 17. Neffati M. Norrkoping 23. Sliti N. Shamal
Coaches
Obiang Bicogo J. M.	Trabelsi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Mascarell O. 🟨,
59', Mejbri H. ↓, Sliti N. ↑,
59', Saad E. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
60', Sassi F. 🟨,
65', Sliti N. 🟨,
71', Salvador I. ↓, Nabil J. ↑,
73', Sassi F. ↓, Ben Romdhane M. ↑,
73', Mastouri H. ↓, Chaouat F. ↑,
84', Gharbi I. 🟨,
87', Obiang P. ↓, Masogo A. ↑,
87', Nsue E. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
87', Eneme S. ↓, Joel Akogo G. ↑,
90+3', Dahmen A. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Ben Romdhane M. ⚽, Chaouat F. (A),
90+5', Ben Romdhane M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Equ Guinea won 2.

Tunisia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tunisia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Equ Guinea won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Equatorial Guinea
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	São Tomé and Príncipe - Equatorial Guinea	2:3 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Equatorial Guinea - Gambia	1:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Namibia - Equatorial Guinea	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Equatorial Guinea - São Tomé and Príncipe	2:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
17.11.24	Togo - Equatorial Guinea	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTWL
- Tunisia
Friendly
06.09.25	Egypt - Tunisia	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
04.09.25	Tunisia - Liberia	3:0 ✺
Friendly
06.06.25	Morocco - Tunisia	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Tunisia - Burkina Faso	2:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
24.03.25	Tunisia - Malawi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
05.06.24	Tunisia - Equatorial Guinea	1:0
Africa Cup of Nations
17.06.23	Equatorial Guinea - Tunisia	1:0
02.06.22	Tunisia - Equatorial Guinea	4:0
FIFA World Cup
13.11.21	Equatorial Guinea - Tunisia	1:0
03.09.21	Tunisia - Equatorial Guinea	3:0
Africa Cup of Nations
28.03.21	Tunisia - Equatorial Guinea	2:1
19.11.19	Equatorial Guinea - Tunisia	0:1

Equatorial Guinea - Tunisia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide