Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Sportpark Hohenberg (Cologne)

Referee: Ballweg C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Viktoria Köln		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.75
	1.6	4	5
	1.58	3.85	5
	1.6	3.95	5.1
	1.61	4.15	5.69
	1.57	3.7	5
	1.6	4.1	5	Watch
	1.57	3.85	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)	3.95 ↑ (3.6)	5.06 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Köln
58.3%

Draw
23.4%

Bayreuth
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

25.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viktoria Köln's performance.

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayreuth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viktoria Köln that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayreuth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Viktoria Köln - Bayreuth Predictions

Users Predictions: Viktoria Köln will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Viktoria Köln is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bayreuth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Viktoria Köln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Viktoria Köln is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Viktoria Köln	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Viktoria Köln - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Ingolstadt - Viktoria Köln	1:3 ✺
22.10.22	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Viktoria Köln - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWTL
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.22	Bayreuth - Elversberg	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Duisburg - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Bayreuth - 1860 München	1:0 ✺
24.10.22	Hallescher - Bayreuth	3:0 ✺
16.10.22	Bayreuth - Verl	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWLL

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