Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sparkassen-Erzgebirgsstadion (Aue) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)


	Erzgebirge Aue		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.6
	1.98	3.3	3.75
	1.92	3.4	3.65
	1.95	3.35	3.65
	1.96	3.5	4.17
	1.91	3.1	3.75
	1.89	3.5	3.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.06)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)	3.78 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzgebirge Aue
47.8%

Draw
27.7%

Zwickau
24.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

26.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	35.7%	7.1%

Erzgebirge Aue - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Zwickau will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Aue has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zwickau is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zwickau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aue is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
02.09.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Erzgebirge Aue - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:5 ✺
10.08.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
04.09.22	Zwickau - Viktoria Köln	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Verl - Zwickau	3:0 ✺
22.08.22	Zwickau - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Elversberg - Zwickau	5:0 ✺
09.08.22	Zwickau - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzgebirge Aue
German Regionalliga Nordost
31.10.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Carl Zeiss Jena	✺
- FSV Zwickau
German Regionalliga Nordost
31.10.26	Preussen - Zwickau	✺

Erzgebirge Aue - Zwickau