Match Info

1. Lig - Round 32

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Esenler Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erokspor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.7	Watch
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	2.1	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.28	3.58
	2.08	3.36	3.44	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.04	3.16	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.92)	3.22 ↓ (3.47)	3.46 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erokspor
45%

Draw
28.5%

Erzurumspor
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

26.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

28.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erokspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Erokspor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Erzurumspor will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Cetin E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 97. Cavare D. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 20. Niyaz R. 5. Okyar M. 89. Amilton 12. Kanga G. 11. Faye M. 10. Kayode O. (C)	31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 3. Kirtay Y. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 77. Keser B. 24. Crociata G. 8. Akgun S. 65. Rodriguez M. 10. Tozlu E. (C)
Substitutes
99. Beyaz O. 7. Catakovic H. 19. Gedik E. 6. Jack R. 8. Karaman A. 17. Korkmaz E. 73. Lus B. 1. Tetik B. (G)	11. Akpinar M. 1. Anapa E. (G) 23. Bayrak C. 19. Fernando Andrade 99. Fettahoglu M. 16. Kabak A. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A. 9. Yener H. 22. Yumlu M.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Ozbalta S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Baiye B. 🟨,
16', Bilazer H. 🟨,
32', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Keser B. ⚽, Tozlu E. (A),
62', Faye M. 🟨,
65', Niyaz R. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
73', Akgun S. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
74', Keser B. ↓, Fettahoglu M. ↑,
76', Kayode O. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
76', Okyar M. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
81', Tozlu E. ↓, Yumlu M. ↑,
82', Rodriguez M. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
90+1', Crociata G. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 2, Sylla C. ⚽, Baiye B. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Erokspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Erokspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Erokspor: Nzaba F. (Red Card)

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Ozhan F. (Suspended) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive) Yigit E. (Suspended)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erokspor
Turkish First League
16.03.26	Çorum - Erokspor	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	Erokspor - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Bodrumspor - Erokspor	3:4 ✺
27.02.26	Erokspor - Boluspor	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Igdirspor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWWW
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
15.03.26	Erzurumspor - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
11.03.26	Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Erzurumspor - Manisa FK	8:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	4:2 ✺
Turkish First League
28.02.26	Vanspor - Erzurumspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
09.11.25	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	1:1
16.02.25	Erokspor - Erzurumspor	1:2
20.09.24	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	2:0
Turkish Cup
08.11.22	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	2:3 penalties
16.12.20	Erzurumspor - Erokspor	5:1

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