Match Info

1. Lig - Round 23

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Erdemir B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erzurumspor		Sarıyer

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.53	3.83	5.68	Watch
	1.56	3.9	6.3
	1.57	3.82	5.86	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.75
	1.59	3.64	5.98	Watch
	1.52	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	3.72 ↑ (3.66)	5.9 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
59.5%

Draw
24.8%

Sarıyer
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

25.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

23.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Sarıyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Erzurumspor - Sarıyer Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sarıyer (3.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Sarıyer (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erzurumspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 4 - 50%). Sarıyer (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 3. Kirtay Y. 15. Giorbelidze G. 6. Baiye B. 77. Keser B. 24. Crociata G. 8. Akgun S. 65. Rodriguez M. 10. Tozlu E.	97. Akyuz F. (G) 77. Karayel C. 2. Kurucuk F. 14. Mert M. 19. Bayram O. (C) 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 70. Camara M. 27. Kulasin E. 7. Regattin A. 90. Eze E. 88. Silva M.
Substitutes
11. Akpinar M. 1. Anapa E. (G) 23. Bayrak C. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 16. Kabak A. 25. Kara O. 83. Onal M. 17. Sarikaya S. 2. Ulgen A. 9. Yener H.	17. Aydogmus B. 23. Bayram M. (G) 9. Dembele P. M. 91. Kor B. 5. Korkmazoglu E. 4. Ozer F. 48. Sol O. 6. Traore H. 22. Yilmaz O.
Coaches
Ozbalta S.	Cetin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Tozlu E. ⚽, Keser B. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Yesilyurt H. E. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Akgun S. ⚽, Keser B. (A),
71', 3 - 0, Baiye B. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
72', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
74', Crociata G. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
74', Rodriguez M. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
80', Keser B. ↓, Kabak A. ↑,
80', Baiye B. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
81', Kulasin E. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
81', Eze E. ↓, Kor B. ↑,
83', Yumlu M. ↓, Gerxhaliu A. ↑,
88', Bayram O. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
88', Regattin A. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 0, Akpinar M. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 16).

Erzurumspor is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sarıyer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Erzurumspor is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Fettahoglu M. (Yellow Cards) Ozhan F. (Suspended) Sasi F. (Inactive) Sever I. (Suspended) Sylla C. (Yellow Cards) Yigit E. (Suspended)

There will not play in Sarıyer: Berber O. (Yellow Cards) Djilobodji P. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Keser B. (Injury)

We predict that Erzurumspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erzurumspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sariyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
24.01.26	Pendikspor - Erzurumspor	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Erzurumspor - Amed SK	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
15.01.26	Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0 ✺
Turkish First League
11.01.26	Sivasspor - Erzurumspor	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	Erzurumspor - Çorum	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWWWW
- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
25.01.26	Sarıyer - Çorum	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Boluspor - Sarıyer	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Sarıyer - Igdirspor	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Erokspor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
29.08.25	Sarıyer - Erzurumspor	0:2

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