Match Info

Date: 10 November 2021, Wednesday


	Esbjerg		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	3	3.65	1.9
	3.18	3.82	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.28)	3.74 ↓ (3.78)	1.94 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
29.2%

Draw
24.2%

AGF Aarhus
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

24.4%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

19%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esbjerg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AGF Aarhus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Esbjerg - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Aarhus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aarhus will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Esbjerg won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Esbjerg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
05.11.21	Esbjerg - Jammerbugt	2:2 ✺
29.10.21	Hobro - Esbjerg	2:6 ✺
23.10.21	Esbjerg - Fredericia	1:2 ✺
14.10.21	Helsingør - Esbjerg	3:0 ✺
04.10.21	Esbjerg - HB Køge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLLW
- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
07.11.21	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	3:0 ✺
01.11.21	OB Odense - AGF Aarhus	0:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
27.10.21	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	0:2 ET ✺
Danish Superliga
24.10.21	Randers FC - AGF Aarhus	1:0 ✺
18.10.21	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg BK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Landspokal Cup
03.03.20	Esbjerg - AGF Aarhus	1:4
Danish Superliga
01.12.19	Esbjerg - AGF Aarhus	1:2
01.09.19	AGF Aarhus - Esbjerg	1:0
08.02.19	AGF Aarhus - Esbjerg	2:0
30.09.18	Esbjerg - AGF Aarhus	0:0
17.05.17	AGF Aarhus - Esbjerg	3:1
14.05.17	Esbjerg - AGF Aarhus	0:0

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