Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Round 17

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina (Juliaca)


	Escuela Municipal Binacional		Deportivo Municipal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.31	4.6	7.5
	1.3	4.75	8.5
	1.3	4.65	8.14
	1.31	4.76	8.62	Watch
	1.25	4.8	9.5
	1.28	4.9	9
	1.3	4.6	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.7)	4.72 ↑ (3.23)	8.47 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escuela Municipal Binacional
70.1%

Draw
19.2%

Deportivo Municipal
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

28%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

27.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Escuela Municipal Binacional's performance.

Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Municipal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Escuela Municipal Binacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Municipal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Binacional will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Municipal will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: )).

Binacional is Qualified for Liga 2 (Championship Group )

Municipal is Qualified for Liga 2 (Championship Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Binacional won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Binacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Binacional is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Binacional won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Binacional won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 2
09.07.24	Comerciantes Belén - Escuela Municipal Binacional	6:1 ✺
03.07.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Coopsol	4:0 ✺
30.06.24	Moquegua - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:1 ✺
23.06.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cantolao	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Ayacucho - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL
- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 2
09.07.24	Deportivo Municipal - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
04.07.24	Santos - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Deportivo Municipal - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Deportivo Coopsol - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
10.06.24	Deportivo Municipal - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
26.05.24	Deportivo Municipal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0
Peruvian Liga 1
24.07.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Municipal	4:1
20.02.23	Deportivo Municipal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0
24.07.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Municipal	2:0
19.02.22	Deportivo Municipal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0
02.10.21	Deportivo Municipal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:2
23.04.21	Deportivo Municipal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:1

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