Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina (Juliaca)

Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Escuela Municipal Binacional		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.2
	2.12	3.45	3.35	Watch
	2.13	3.3	3.52
	2.1	3.27	3.52	Watch
	2	3.3	3.5
	2.12	3.48	3.56	Watch
	2.12	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.27)	3.36 ↑ (3.33)	3.43 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escuela Municipal Binacional
44.8%

Draw
27.9%

Los Chankas
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Escuela Municipal Binacional - Los Chankas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Azurin A. (G) 7. Carranza J. 2. Rodriguez N. 4. Timana H. 24. Ayqque J. 8. Tello Y. 88. Aubert E. 6. Duque L. 17. Crespo H. 13. Gutierrez A. 20. Torres M.	32. Saravia F. (G) 2. Gonzalez H. 33. Pimienta C. 15. Mifflin L. 23. Torres S. 31. Quintana A. 10. Torres F. 6. Guivin Tanta J. 17. Velarde C. 7. Manzaneda J. 9. Camargo I.
Substitutes
27. Aguinaga A. 18. Figueroa N. 22. Flores F. 23. Magallanes A. 1. Montalvo D. (G) 38. Perez C. 14. Rasmussen M. 16. Revilla J. 10. Torres R.	27. Bueno P. 1. Camacho H. (G) 14. Fernandez F. 4. Mogollon E. 5. Palomino J. 24. Pizzorno A. 8. Quiroz A. 18. Takeuchi O. 16. Tunqui J.
Coaches
Calmet L.	Vaioli C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Torres F. ⚽, Manzaneda J. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Manzaneda J. ⚽, Quintana A. (A),
34', Aubert E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Crespo H. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
46', Duque L. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
46', Ayqque J. ↓, Aguinaga A. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Torres R. ⚽, Aguinaga A. (A),
61', Velarde C. ↓, Palomino J. ↑,
61', Torres F. ↓, Takeuchi O. ↑,
62', Torres S. ↓, Mogollon E. ↑,
68', Saravia F. 🟨,
70', Camargo I. ↓, Bueno P. ↑,
71', Torres M. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
71', Mifflin L. 🟨,
75', Tello Y. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
76', Quintana A. 🟨,
80', Quintana A. ↓, Pizzorno A. ↑,
84', Aubert E. ↓, Magallanes A. ↑,
86', Bueno P. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Binacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Binacional might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	ADT Tarma - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Ayacucho	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Sporting Cristal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLTTL
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
27.04.25	Los Chankas - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Alianza Lima - Los Chankas	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Los Chankas - Sport Huancayo	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Sport Boys - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Los Chankas - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLTW

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