Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina (Juliaca)

Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes


	Escuela Municipal Binacional		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.55	Watch
	3.25	3.2	1.98
	2.82	3.3	2.45
	2.8	3.3	2.52
	2.82	3.19	2.52	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.05
	2.89	3.35	2.51	Watch
	2.82	3.3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (4.96)	3.27 ↓ (3.58)	2.38 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escuela Municipal Binacional
31.9%

Draw
28.7%

Universitario de Deportes
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

26.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

26.1%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Escuela Municipal Binacional's performance.

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Escuela Municipal Binacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Universitario de Deportes will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Azurin A. (C) 28. Chavez E. 2. Rodriguez N. 15. Leon B. 11. Chavez D. 6. Duque L. 14. Rasmussen M. 10. Torres R. 7. Carranza J. 13. Gutierrez A. 20. Torres M.	1. Britos S. (G) 26. Ancajima H. 33. Inga C. 3. Riveros W. 55. Dulanto G. (C) 14. Reyna P. 7. Velez J. 11. Rivera J. 17. Concha J. 15. Diego Churin 23. Murrugarra J.
Substitutes
27. Aguinaga A. 88. Aubert E. 17. Crespo H. 22. Flores F. 25. Meza C. 1. Montalvo D. (G) 16. Revilla J. 8. Tello Y. 4. Timana H.	27. Carabali J. 8. Costa G. 34. Cruz E. 5. Di Benedetto M. 35. Dioses R. 36. Flores S. 24. Polo A. 20. Valera A. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Torres E.	Barreto Sayan M. F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Rivera J. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Concha J. ⚽, Ancajima H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Torres R. ↓, Aubert E. ↑,
46', Duque L. ↓, Tello Y. ↑,
46', Gutierrez A. ↓, Meza C. ↑,
52', Carranza J. 🟨,
55', Rasmussen M. 🟨,
58', 0 - 3, Ancajima H. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
58', Ancajima H. 🟨,
59', Rasmussen M. ↓, Aguinaga A. ↑,
61', 1 - 3, Torres M. ⚽, Aubert E. (A),
61', Chavez E. 🟨,
65', Diego Churin ↓, Valera A. ↑,
68', Chavez E. ↓, Crespo H. ↑,
74', Velez J. ↓, Polo A. ↑,
80', Leon B. 🟨,
81', Rivera J. ↓, Di Benedetto M. ↑,
81', Concha J. ↓, Flores S. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Binacional won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Uni de Deportes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Uni de Deportes will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M. (Muscle Injury) Perez M. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Binacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Binacional won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 1
13.04.25	ADT Tarma - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Ayacucho	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Sporting Cristal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	5:0 ✺
10.03.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLWL
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
13.04.25	Universitario de Deportes - FBC Melgar	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Independiente del Valle - Universitario de Deportes	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.25	Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Universitario de Deportes - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
28.03.25	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
12.08.23	Universitario de Deportes - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0
13.03.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes	1:2
13.08.22	Universitario de Deportes - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0
20.03.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes	1:0
18.10.21	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes	1:2
30.11.20	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universitario de Deportes	0:2
10.10.20	Universitario de Deportes - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:1

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