Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 3

Date: 29 June 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)


	Deportivo Garcilaso		Escuela Municipal Binacional

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.50	6.50
	1.29	5.40	6.75
	1.21	5.50	6.80
	1.31	5.88	7.44	Watch
	1.28	5.65	6.85
	1.34	5.10	6.27
	1.27	5.40	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (2.12)	5.49 ↑ (3.48)	6.74 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Garcilaso
70.2%

Draw
16.4%

Escuela Municipal Binacional
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

25.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Garcilaso's performance.

Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escuela Municipal Binacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-26.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Garcilaso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escuela Municipal Binacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Garcilaso - Escuela Municipal Binacional Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo Garcilaso will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Mendoza J. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Olivares C. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Santa Maria J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 3 - 1, Olivares C. ⚽,
54', 4 - 1, Ascues A. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
21.06.26	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Juan Pablo II College	4:1 ✺
25.05.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWTW
- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
22.06.26	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cusco	4:3 ✺
13.06.26	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cienciano	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sport Huancayo 2	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Comerciantes Belén - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:1
09.07.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:5
04.02.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Escuela Municipal Binacional	Deportivo Garcilaso awarded

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