Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina (Juliaca)


	Escuela Municipal Binacional		Universidad César Vallejo

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.6
	1.57	4.45	4.7
	1.6	4.1	4.08
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.56	4.3	5.45	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.99)	4.04 ↑ (3.29)	4.73 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Escuela Municipal Binacional
57.5%

Draw
22.9%

Universidad César Vallejo
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.7%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Escuela Municipal Binacional's performance.

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad César Vallejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Escuela Municipal Binacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad César Vallejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	10.7%	0%

Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: Escuela Municipal Binacional will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 16. Villamarin R. 2. Minaya D. 5. Murillo Y. 20. Crespo H. 13. Oncoy F. 4. Romero A. 17. Palacios B. 18. Nunez O. 23. Caceres J. 19. Zeta H.	1. Grados C. (G) 16. Torres S. 4. Fleitas L. 97. Lujan J. 2. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 18. Morillo E. 30. Villacorta A. 23. Quinteros R. 27. Ramirez A. 69. Fano F. 17. Mena Y.
Substitutes
7. Aubert E. 21. Azurin A. (G) 31. Chumpitaz M. 27. Cirilo J. 6. Mifflin L. 14. Quina M. 22. Vizcarra J.	22. Flores F. 32. Madrid J. 24. Olaya S. 38. Perez D. 13. Rodriguez N. 28. Santibanez S. 77. Valladolid C. 35. Vargas J. (G) 8. Ysique F.
Coaches
Vaioli C.	Abreu S.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Binacional won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Binacional is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Binacional won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Binacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 1
12.08.23	Universitario de Deportes - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sport Boys	4:0 ✺
27.07.23	Sporting Cristal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	5:0 ✺
24.07.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Municipal	4:1 ✺
16.07.23	Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWL
- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
11.08.23	Universidad César Vallejo - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
06.08.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad César Vallejo	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
21.07.23	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	1:4 ✺
15.07.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.03.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0
Copa Sudamericana
08.03.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:1
Peruvian Liga 1
24.10.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad César Vallejo	3:0
26.06.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Escuela Municipal Binacional	4:0
30.10.21	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad César Vallejo	0:0
15.05.21	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad César Vallejo	1:2
14.02.20	Universidad César Vallejo - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:2

Upcoming Matches