Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina (Juliaca)


	Escuela Municipal Binacional		Sport Boys

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.38	4.33	6.25
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.4	4.7	7.75
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.41	4.7	7.4	Watch
	1.39	4.5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.58)	4.53 ↑ (3.85)	7.44 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escuela Municipal Binacional
67.1%

Draw
20.5%

Sport Boys
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.9%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

22.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Escuela Municipal Binacional's performance.

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Escuela Municipal Binacional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sport Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Binacional will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sport Boys will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 28. Duran J. 4. Romero A. 5. Murillo Y. 25. Rosell Delgado J. A. (C) 20. Crespo H. 13. Oncoy F. 6. Mifflin L. 17. Palacios B. 23. Caceres J. 19. Zeta H.	1. Villete A. (G) 6. Cuba R. 2. Schuler W. 4. Ramos C. (C) 14. Paz Benitez O. 3. Vasquez C. 24. Uribe E. 17. Morales J. 22. Rios J. 10. Chavez J. 29. Contin N.
Substitutes
7. Aubert E. 27. Cirilo J. 12. Escalante J. 2. Minaya D. 18. Nunez O. 14. Quina M. 29. Santa Maria J. 15. Villalta B. 22. Vizcarra J.	8. Mero E. 33. Otiniano P. 30. Pena K. 12. Quispe I. (G) 20. Roca F. 25. Salazar R. 35. Sanchez D. 90. Sanchez K.
Coaches
Vaioli C.	Gamboa F.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Binacional won 2.

Binacional is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sport Boys is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sport Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Binacional is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Binacional won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Binacional won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 1
27.07.23	Sporting Cristal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	5:0 ✺
24.07.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Municipal	4:1 ✺
16.07.23	Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:5 ✺
01.07.23	ADT Tarma - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
31.07.23	Sport Boys - FBC Melgar	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
16.07.23	Sport Boys - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	Unión Comercio - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
04.07.23	Sport Boys - Cantolao	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
03.03.23	Sport Boys - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:2
21.08.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sport Boys	3:0
02.04.22	Sport Boys - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:3
18.09.21	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sport Boys	1:2
29.03.21	Sport Boys - Escuela Municipal Binacional	3:2
08.03.20	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sport Boys	3:1
16.11.19	Sport Boys - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:1

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