Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 4

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Stage Front Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)


	Espanyol		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6.5	Watch
	1.54	3.6	7
	1.56	3.91	7.35
	1.54	3.98	6.35	Watch
	1.54	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)	3.88 ↓ (3.89)	6.68 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
61.3%

Draw
24.5%

Amorebieta
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

24.1%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

23.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	10%	5%

Espanyol - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pacheco F. (G) 31. El Hilali O. 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. 14. Olivan B. 8. Bare K. 10. Lozano P. 21. Melamed N. 7. Puado J. 11. Milla P. 17. Jofre	30. Campos P. (G) 15. Nunez A. 4. Manu 3. Etxeita X. (C) 28. Garreta F. 7. Dorrio J. 21. Carbonell A. 20. Sibo K. 17. Rodriguez R. 14. Eraso J. 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
9. Balde K. 22. Braithwaite M. 20. Exposito 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gil O. 3. Gomez S. 15. Gragera J. 16. Lazo J. 12. Ramon 19. Sanchez S.	19. Aviles J. 29. Da Graca C. M. 10. Edwards R. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 2. Mier J. 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 27. Quintero L. 11. Seguin I.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Mujika H.

Preview

Espanyol is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Espanyol is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
27.08.23	Mirandés - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Espanyol - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Albacete Balompié - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Utrecht - Espanyol	3:0 ✺
29.07.23	Espanyol - Al-Wakrah	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTLW
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
27.08.23	Amorebieta - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	Albacete Balompié - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
11.08.23	Amorebieta - Levante	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTTLW

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