Match Info

LaLiga - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
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Peru	Disney+
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Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Espanyol		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.35	Watch
	2.88	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.91	3.57	2.5
	2.78	3.75	2.35	Watch
	2.94	3.62	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.82)	3.58 ↓ (3.62)	2.43 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
33.4%

Draw
26.9%

Villarreal
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

27.4%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	21.2%	45.5%

Espanyol - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 11 - 33.3%). Villarreal will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 28.5% – 62.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Villarreal (2.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Espanyol (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Villarreal (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 12. Salinas J. 24. Dolan T. 4. Gonzalez U. 10. Lozano P. 11. Milla P. 8. Exposito 9. Fernandez Jaen R.	1. Luiz Junior (G) 26. Navarro P. 4. Marin R. 12. Veiga R. 24. Pedraza A. 17. Buchanan T. 16. Partey T. 14. Comesana S. 20. Moleiro A. 7. Moreno G. (C) 21. Oluwaseyi T.
Substitutes
1. Fortuno A. (G) 19. Garcia K. 27. Hernandez J. 17. Jofre 16. Koleosho L. 18. Pickel C. 38. Riedel C. 20. Roca A. 15. Rubio M. 2. Sanchez R. 30. Tristan P. (G)	11. Akhomach I. 3. Altimira A. 23. Cardona S. 13. Conde D. (G) 8. Foyth J. 18. Gueye P. 32. Lopez H. 15. Mourino S. 10. Parejo D. 19. Pepe N. 22. Perez A. 25. Tenas A. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez M.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Moreno G. ⚽, Comesana S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Moleiro A. ⚽,
60', Lozano P. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
61', Buchanan T. 🟨,
71', Exposito ↓, Jofre ↑,
71', Milla P. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
71', Moreno G. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
74', Comesana S. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
74', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
81', Navarro P. 🟨,
82', El Hilali O. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
82', Gonzalez U. ↓, Rubio M. ↑,
83', Buchanan T. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
83', Moleiro A. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Espanyol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Espanyol: Puado J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Solomon M. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Espanyol - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 33.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.25	Deportivo Alavés - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Atlètic Lleida - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Espanyol - Elche	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Espanyol - Betis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL
- Villarreal CF
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Paphos - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.11.25	Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Villarreal	0:6 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Valencia - Villarreal	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Villarreal - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
27.04.25	Villarreal - Espanyol	1:0
26.09.24	Espanyol - Villarreal	1:2
27.04.23	Villarreal - Espanyol	4:2
09.11.22	Espanyol - Villarreal	0:1
27.02.22	Villarreal - Espanyol	5:1
21.08.21	Espanyol - Villarreal	0:0
19.01.20	Villarreal - Espanyol	1:2

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