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Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 11
  • Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)
  • Referee: Galech I. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Villarreal Rayo Vallecano
    Villarreal Rayo Vallecano
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.75 ↑
    (1.72)    		 3.84 ↑
    (3.81)    		 4.68 ↓
    (4.81)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Villarreal
    54.7%    		Draw
    24.9%    		Rayo Vallecano
    20.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    55.3% 25% 19.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    57.9% 26.2% 18.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    81.6% 8.2% 10.2%

    Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.79% – 92.47%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villarreal will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. BrazilLuiz Junior (G)
    15. UruguayMourino S.
      8. ArgentinaFoyth J.
    12. PortugalVeiga R.
    24. SpainPedraza A.
    19. IvoryPepe N.
    14. SpainComesana S.
    16. GhanaPartey T.
    20. SpainMoleiro A.
      7. SpainMoreno G. (C)
      9. GeorgiaMikautadze G.
    		13. ArgentinaBatalla A. (G)
      2. RomaniaRatiu A.
    24. FranceLejeune F.
    32. SenegalMendy N.
      3. SpainChavarria P.
      4. SpainDiaz P.
      6. SenegalCiss P.
    19. Spainde Frutos J.
      7. SpainPalazon I. (C)
    18. SpainGarcia A.
      9. BrazilAlemao
    Substitutes
    11. MoroccoAkhomach I.
      3. SpainAltimira A.
    17. CanadaBuchanan T.
    23. SpainCardona S.
    18. SenegalGueye P.
      4. SpainMarin R.
    26. SpainNavarro P.
    21. CanadaOluwaseyi T.
    10. SpainParejo D.
    22. SpainPerez A.
      6. IsraelSolomon M.
    25. SpainTenas A. (G)
    		20. AlbaniaBalliu I.
    28. SpainBecerra S.
    10. SpainCamello S.
      1. SpainCardenas D. (G)
    15. SpainGumbau G.
    40. SpainMolina A. (G)
    11. AngolaNteka R.
    22. UruguayPacha
    21. SpainPerez F.
      8. ArgentinaTrejo O.
    23. SpainValentin O.
    33. NetherlandsVertrouwd J.
    Coaches
         SpainMarcelino G.
    		     SpainPerez I.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 22', 1 - 0, Moreno G. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
    • 28', Moleiro A. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
    • 46', Mikautadze G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
    • 56', 2 - 0, Moleiro A. ⚽, Pedraza A. (A),
    • 58', 3 - 0, Comesana S. ⚽, Moleiro A. (A),
    • 63', Moleiro A. ↓, Buchanan T. ↑,
    • 64', Moreno G. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
    • 65', 4 - 0, Perez A. ⚽,
    • 66', Palazon I. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
    • 66', Garcia A. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
    • 66', de Frutos J. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
    • 74', Comesana S. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
    • 76', Ratiu A. 🟨,
    • 77', Pepe N. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
    • 79', Alemao ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
    • 79', Diaz P. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,

    Preview

  • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 2.
  • Villarreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Rayo Vallecano is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, Villarreal is a strong favorite.
  • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)
  • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury)
  • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:18. (average 2.2:1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.4:0.8).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Villarreal CF
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    29.10.25 Ciudad de Lucena - Villarreal 0:6 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    25.10.25 Valencia - Villarreal 0:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    21.10.25 Villarreal - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    18.10.25 Villarreal - Betis 2:2 ✺
    04.10.25 Real Madrid - Villarreal 3:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5
    WWLTL
    - Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    29.10.25 Yuncos - Rayo Vallecano 1:6 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    26.10.25 Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    23.10.25 Häcken - Rayo Vallecano 2:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    19.10.25 Levante - Rayo Vallecano 0:3 ✺
    05.10.25 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5
    WWTWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    22.02.25 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 0:1
    18.12.24 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 1:1
    28.04.24 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 3:0
    24.09.23 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 1:1
    28.05.23 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 2:1
    30.01.23 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 0:1
    12.05.22 Rayo Vallecano - Villarreal 1:5
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Villarreal CF
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Villarreal - Napoli ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Real Madrid - Villarreal ✺
    - Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao ✺

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