Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Espeleño		Cabecense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.84	3.15	3.96
	1.79	3.35	4.17
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.51)	3.34 ↓ (3.75)	4.03 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espeleño
50.4%

Draw
27.1%

Cabecense
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

23.8%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espeleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Espeleño's form might have worsened.

Cabecense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cabecense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espeleño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cabecense than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cabecense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cabecense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Espeleño have a series of guest games.

In this match Espeleño is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Espeleño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Espeleño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.01.24	Ceuta B - Espeleño	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Xerez CD - Espeleño	5:0 ✺
23.12.23	Espeleño - Córdoba B	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Sevilla C - Espeleño	0:2 ✺
06.12.23	Gerena - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLTWL
- CD Cabecense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
21.01.24	Cabecense - Gerena	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Cabecense - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Ayamonte - Cabecense	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Cabecense - Coria CF	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	La Palma - Cabecense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
24.03.19	Espeleño - Cabecense	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
01.11.17	Espeleño - Cabecense	4:1

Espeleño - Cabecense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide