Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 17

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)


	Xerez CD		Espeleño

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.36	4.2	8
	1.4	4.22	6.6
	1.4	4.22	6.38
	1.33	4.33	9.1
	1.36	4.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	4.23 ↓ (4.75)	7.51 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
66.4%

Draw
21.5%

Espeleño
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

19.1%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

18.2%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Espeleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez CD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

Xerez CD is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Espeleño is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Espeleño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Xerez CD is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Xerez CD to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Xerez CD won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Xerez CD won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.01.24	Ayamonte - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:3 ✺
17.12.23	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Xerez CD - Coria CF	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	La Palma - Xerez CD	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWT
- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.12.23	Espeleño - Córdoba B	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Sevilla C - Espeleño	0:2 ✺
06.12.23	Gerena - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Espeleño - Ciudad de Lucena	2:3 ✺
26.11.23	Ayamonte - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.04.23	Xerez CD - Espeleño	3:1
18.12.22	Espeleño - Xerez CD	3:2
27.01.19	Xerez CD - Espeleño	3:1
23.09.18	Espeleño - Xerez CD	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.04.18	Espeleño - Xerez CD	2:0

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