Match Info

Date: 29 June 2022, Wednesday


	Espoon Palloseura		Salon Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.15	3.3	2
	3.1	3.3	1.99
	3.3	3.8	2.09
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.2	3.52	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.83)	3.4 ↓ (3.84)	2.03 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Palloseura
28.7%

Draw
26.6%

Salon Palloilijat
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

24.4%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

23.9%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Salon Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salon Palloilijat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salon Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salon Palloilijat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	42.9%	35.7%

Espoon Palloseura - Salon Palloilijat Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. EPS will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). SalPa will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group B (Winners stage)).

EPS is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches SalPa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

EPS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

SalPa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches EPS won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams EPS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
23.06.22	Klubi 04 - Espoon Palloseura	2:0 ✺
09.06.22	MuSa - Espoon Palloseura	0:0 ✺
05.06.22	Espoon Palloseura - Grankulla IFK	1:3 ✺
29.05.22	Espoon Palloseura - Honka Akatemia	0:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
25.05.22	Espoon Palloseura - IFK Mariehamn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLTL
- Salon Palloilijat
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
22.06.22	Salon Palloilijat - Jazz Pori	2:1 ✺
18.06.22	Grankulla IFK - Salon Palloilijat	0:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.06.22	PK-35 Vantaa - Salon Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
11.06.22	Salon Palloilijat - Ilves 2	1:2 ✺
29.05.22	Salon Palloilijat - VJS Vantaa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
24.10.21	Salon Palloilijat - Espoon Palloseura	0:2
04.07.21	Espoon Palloseura - Salon Palloilijat	2:1
27.07.19	Salon Palloilijat - Espoon Palloseura	2:2
18.05.19	Espoon Palloseura - Salon Palloilijat	2:3

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